The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Price vs. Parabolic:Crossover
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Parabolic SAR Crossover - Stock market timing signals.
The Parabolic System is also known as a Stop and Reverse (Parabolic SAR) system, and it was developed by Welles Wilder, the author of the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Parabolic System is a trend following technique that is useful for catching new trends early. The Parabolic System used to set trailing price stops. The stops below the price are considered as bullish, above the price as bearish. Parabolic SAR crossover generates excellent buy and sell signals in trending market but tends to whipsaw during non-trending, sideways phases.
parabolic sar,Parabolic SAR Crossover,stock market timing signals
Archive
- 12/7/2018
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iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond
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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal line
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtRelative Strength Index bearish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG). During the week, the AGG climbed 0.60 points, or 0.57%, and closed at 105.48 on Friday, December 07, 2018. Weekly volume was 111% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AGG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on May 29, 2018 at 107.00 and reached 103.94 on November 2, 2018. AGG lost 3.06 points, or 2.86%, in 22 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 103.61 and resistance is at 106.42. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AGG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 2, 2018 at 103.94 and reached 105.55 on December 7, 2018. AGG gained -1.61 points, or -1.55%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (104.80) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AGG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AGG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 3, 2018 at 104.63 and reached 105.55 on December 7, 2018. AGG gained -0.92 points, or -0.88%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 7.61% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AGG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 9, 2018. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (104.63) comes close to the price (105.48). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.11
Overbought Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.53
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.10
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.06
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.08
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 48.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.57
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 45.17
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.53
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 106.42
Upper Bollinger Band 105.51
Price 105.48
Daily Stochastic Crossing 105.30
Weekly Trendline Resistance 105.13
Weekly Trendline Support 104.80
20 Day Moving Average 104.68
50 Day Moving Average 104.65
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 104.63
Parabolic System 104.63
Lower Bollinger Band 104.10
Monthly Trendline Support 103.61
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 104.63
Low Date 12/03/2018
High 105.55
High Date 12/07/2018
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 105.13
Support 104.80
Low 103.94
Low Date 11/02/2018
High 105.55
High Date 12/07/2018
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 106.42
Support 103.61
High 107.00
High Date 05/29/2018
Low 103.94
Low Date 11/02/2018
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 110.66
High Date 09/07/2017
Low 103.94
Low Date 11/02/2018
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 113.27
High Date 07/08/2016
Low 103.94
Low Date 11/02/2018
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.

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