The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Archive
- 3/15/2019
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Alliance Data Systems
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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 171.68
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week for the Alliance Data Systems (ADS). During the week, the ADS gained 6.06 points, or 3.64%, and closed at 172.41 on Friday, March 15, 2019. ADS was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See ADS long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 21, 2018 at 250.27 and reached 142.58 on December 26, 2018. ADS lost 107.69 points, or 43.03%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Pennant chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (162.47) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ADS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on December 26, 2018 at 142.58 and reached 182.77 on February 5, 2019. ADS gained -40.19 points, or -28.19%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (171.68). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ADS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 15, 2019. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ADS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 25, 2019 at 177.43 and reached 163.35 on March 8, 2019. ADS lost 14.08 points, or 7.94%, in 11 days. The price is now at the 64.35% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ADS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 6.26% on Friday. It is 54.77% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 49.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 56.02
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 50.70
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.63
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.15
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 65.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 64.97
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.15
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -13.79
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 176.13
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 173.23
Price 172.41
Weekly Trendline Resistance 171.68
20 Day Moving Average 171.46
50 Day Moving Average 170.99
Daily Stochastic Crossing 169.00
Parabolic System 167.70
Monthly Trendline Resistance 165.70
Lower Bollinger Band 165.31
Monthly Trendline Support 162.47
Weekly Trendline Support 162.47
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Technology 5
Industry Information/Delivery Svcs 50
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 177.43
High Date 02/25/2019
Low 163.35
Low Date 03/08/2019
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 171.68
Support 162.47
Low 142.58
Low Date 12/26/2018
High 182.77
High Date 02/05/2019
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Pennant
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 165.70
Support 162.47
High 250.27
High Date 09/21/2018
Low 142.58
Low Date 12/26/2018
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 278.33
High Date 01/12/2018
Low 142.58
Low Date 12/26/2018
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 312.00
High Date 04/23/2015
Low 142.58
Low Date 12/26/2018
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.

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