The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Yearly Pattern:Falling Pennant
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Chart Analysis and Chart Pattern Recognition – Bear Flag, Bull Flag, Bearish Pennant and Bullish Pennant.


Bear flag, bull flag, bearish pennant and bullish pennant chart patterns represent brief pauses after sharp moves in a dynamic market. They are considered as most reliable continuation patterns. Flags are characterized as short-term channels slanting against the main trend. Pennants represent short-term triangle formations. Volume is heavy during the sharp move preceding the formation.
Trading technique:
# 1 Flags and pennants present an additional opportunity to enter the dynamic market.
Tips:
# 1
Usually flags and pennants represent short-term pauses technically required to reset overbought/oversold technical indicators and allow further movement. They likely to appear at earlier stages of the larger patterns, when short-term technical indicators are grossly overbought/oversold, but long-term indicators are in the middle range. In a situation when both long and short-term indicators are overbought (oversold), flags and pennants have more chances to become the beginning of a larger formation. Flags and pennants are considered invalid as soon as they break the parent's formation trend line.
# 2 As a continuation pattern, rectangle usually appears within a young trend characterized by neutral long-term indicators and overbought/oversold short-term indicators. Rectangle resets daily CTI to neutral and then continues the movement in parent's direction.
# 3 For the best results, chart patterns should be considered together with other technical analysis signals and technical trading techniques.
Estimated Target: projected support/resistance level of larger trend.

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- 4/5/2024 -
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CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldTrend support at 60.90
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY). During the week, the FXY gave back -0.13 points, or -0.21%, and closed at 61.10 on Friday, April 5, 2024. Weekly volume was 35% above average.

Long-term trend: [See FXY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 9, 2020 at 93.23 and reached 60.94 on April 3, 2024. FXY lost 32.29 points, or 34.63%, in 212 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (60.90) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 11, 2024 at 63.14 and reached 60.94 on April 3, 2024. FXY lost 2.20 points, or 3.48%, in 3 weeks. The price is now at the 7.27% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 15, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2024 at 61.29 and reached 61.05 on April 5, 2024. FXY lost 0.24 points, or 0.39%, in 1 days. The price is now at the 20.83% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 18, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (61.39) comes close to the price (61.10). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.11
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.93
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 23.47
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.26
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 20.08
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.30
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.31
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.65
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 64.36
Upper Bollinger Band 62.91
50 Day Moving Average 61.93
20 Day Moving Average 61.68
Parabolic System 61.39
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 61.34
Daily Stochastic Crossing 61.12
Price 61.10
Quarterly Trendline Support 60.90
Lower Bollinger Band 60.07
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 61.29
High Date 04/04/2024
Low 61.05
Low Date 04/05/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 63.14
High Date 03/11/2024
Low 60.94
Low Date 04/03/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 66.12
High Date 12/28/2023
Low 60.94
Low Date 04/03/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Test Support
Resistance 64.36
Support 60.90
High 93.23
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 60.94
Low Date 04/03/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 96.75
High Date 08/18/2016
Low 60.94
Low Date 04/03/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.