The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Quarterly Pattern:Falling Pennant
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Chart Analysis and Chart Pattern Recognition – Bear Flag, Bull Flag, Bearish Pennant and Bullish Pennant.


Bear flag, bull flag, bearish pennant and bullish pennant chart patterns represent brief pauses after sharp moves in a dynamic market. They are considered as most reliable continuation patterns. Flags are characterized as short-term channels slanting against the main trend. Pennants represent short-term triangle formations. Volume is heavy during the sharp move preceding the formation.
Trading technique:
# 1 Flags and pennants present an additional opportunity to enter the dynamic market.
Tips:
# 1
Usually flags and pennants represent short-term pauses technically required to reset overbought/oversold technical indicators and allow further movement. They likely to appear at earlier stages of the larger patterns, when short-term technical indicators are grossly overbought/oversold, but long-term indicators are in the middle range. In a situation when both long and short-term indicators are overbought (oversold), flags and pennants have more chances to become the beginning of a larger formation. Flags and pennants are considered invalid as soon as they break the parent's formation trend line.
# 2 As a continuation pattern, rectangle usually appears within a young trend characterized by neutral long-term indicators and overbought/oversold short-term indicators. Rectangle resets daily CTI to neutral and then continues the movement in parent's direction.
# 3 For the best results, chart patterns should be considered together with other technical analysis signals and technical trading techniques.
Estimated Target: projected support/resistance level of larger trend.

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- 4/5/2024 -
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Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX). During the week, the GDX gained 2.22 points, or 7.02%, and closed at 33.84 on Friday, April 5, 2024. Weekly volume was 44% above average.

Long-term trend: [See GDX long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on May 4, 2023 at 36.26 and reached 25.62 on October 4, 2023. GDX lost 10.64 points, or 29.34%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (25.68) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. GDX may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See GDX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 28, 2024 at 25.67 and reached 33.99 on April 5, 2024. GDX gained -8.32 points, or -32.41%, in 5 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GDX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since March 8, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GDX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 22, 2024 at 29.59 and reached 33.99 on April 5, 2024. GDX gained -4.40 points, or -14.87%, in 14 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GDX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since February 28, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.33
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.22
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.93
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.21
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.15
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.27
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 33.84
Daily Stochastic Crossing 33.76
Upper Bollinger Band 33.55
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 33.09
Parabolic System 31.48
20 Day Moving Average 30.73
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 30.65
50 Day Moving Average 28.73
Lower Bollinger Band 28.10
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 29.59
Low Date 03/22/2024
High 33.99
High Date 04/05/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.67
Low Date 02/28/2024
High 33.99
High Date 04/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.62
Low Date 10/04/2023
High 33.99
High Date 04/05/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 30.65
Support 25.68
High 36.26
High Date 05/04/2023
Low 25.62
Low Date 10/04/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 45.78
High Date 08/05/2020
Low 21.52
Low Date 09/26/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.