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- 10/24/2025 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR dropped -6.52 points, or -2.89%, and closed at 219.09 on Friday, October 24, 2025. Weekly volume was 15% above average.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2009 at 9.76 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -283.24 points, or -2902.05%, in 835 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.94) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2014 at 22.53 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -270.47 points, or -1200.49%, in 579 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (145.73) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 23, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 254.93 and reached 217.20 on October 15, 2025. PGR lost 37.73 points, or 14.80%, in 56 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 9, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (19.15%) is close to one year high (17.03%). It is 113.02% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.14
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.21
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.84
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.46
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 24.87
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 23.31
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.78 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 252.47
50 Day Moving Average 241.13
20 Day Moving Average 234.52
Parabolic System 232.76
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 225.61
Price 219.09
Daily Stochastic Crossing 219.06
Lower Bollinger Band 210.52
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 5
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 55
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
High 254.93
High Date 08/20/2025
Low 217.20
Low Date 10/15/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 289.96
High Date 06/03/2025
Low 217.20
Low Date 10/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 217.20
Low Date 10/15/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 173.12
Support 145.73
Low 22.53
Low Date 02/04/2014
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 53.38
Support 45.94
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.