The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 7/10/2026 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtPrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
Daily :Stochastic has declined below the signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR gave back -1.50 points, or -0.65%, and closed at 230.72 on Friday, July 10, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since May 29, 2026. Weekly volume was -25% below average.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 17, 2025 at 293.00 and reached 189.20 on May 29, 2026. PGR lost 103.80 points, or 35.43%, in 62 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 29, 2026 at 189.20 and reached 239.38 on July 7, 2026. PGR gained -50.18 points, or -26.52%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 227.60 and resistance is at 242.95. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 10, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 7, 2026 at 239.38 and reached 228.47 on July 10, 2026. PGR lost 10.91 points, or 4.56%, in 3 days. The price is now at the 20.62% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 4, 2026.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 120.79% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 73.47
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.34
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.02
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.64
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.82
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.63
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.63
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 242.95
Upper Bollinger Band 242.76
Parabolic System 239.17
Daily Stochastic Crossing 232.44
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 232.34
Price 230.72
Monthly Trendline Support 227.60
20 Day Moving Average 218.07
50 Day Moving Average 206.19
Lower Bollinger Band 197.01
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 100
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 239.38
High Date 07/07/2026
Low 228.47
Low Date 07/10/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.38
High Date 07/07/2026
Low 228.47
Low Date 07/10/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 242.95
Support 227.60
Low 189.20
Low Date 05/29/2026
High 239.38
High Date 07/07/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 189.20
Low Date 05/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.