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- 7/17/2026 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR dropped -22.77 points, or -9.87%, and closed at 207.95 on Friday, July 17, 2026. Weekly volume was 38% above average.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 17, 2025 at 293.00 and reached 189.20 on May 29, 2026. PGR lost 103.80 points, or 35.43%, in 62 weeks. The price is now at the 18.06% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 29, 2026 at 189.20 and reached 239.38 on July 7, 2026. PGR gained -50.18 points, or -26.52%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (234.55) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. PGR may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 10, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 7, 2026 at 239.38 and reached 203.08 on July 16, 2026. PGR lost 36.30 points, or 15.16%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 13.42% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 116.93% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 27.37
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 27.93
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.41
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.46
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 56.34
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.52
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 241.67
Upper Bollinger Band 238.55
Monthly Trendline Support 234.55
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 229.67
Parabolic System 227.12
20 Day Moving Average 221.17
Daily Stochastic Crossing 208.24
Price 207.95
50 Day Moving Average 207.83
Lower Bollinger Band 197.25
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 86
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 235.00
High Date 07/13/2026
Low 203.08
Low Date 07/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 239.38
High Date 07/07/2026
Low 203.08
Low Date 07/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 241.67
Support 234.55
Low 189.20
Low Date 05/29/2026
High 239.38
High Date 07/07/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 189.20
Low Date 05/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.