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- 8/21/2026 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR gained 9.68 points, or 4.62%, and closed at 219.28 on Friday, August 21, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since June 26, 2026. PGR was trading at average weekly trading volume.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 17, 2025 at 293.00 and reached 189.20 on May 29, 2026. PGR lost 103.80 points, or 35.43%, in 62 weeks. The price is now at the 28.98% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 7, 2026 at 239.38 and reached 203.08 on July 16, 2026. PGR lost 36.30 points, or 15.16%, in 1 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (203.20) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. PGR may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 10, 2026. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 17, 2026 at 203.18 and reached 223.80 on August 20, 2026. PGR gained -20.62 points, or -10.15%, in 3 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.08
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 69.43
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.71
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.32
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 36.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.59
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 52.95
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.44
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 222.46
Price 219.28
Daily Stochastic Crossing 218.14
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 217.52
50 Day Moving Average 214.99
20 Day Moving Average 213.24
Weekly Trendline Resistance 205.80
Parabolic System 204.61
Lower Bollinger Band 204.28
Weekly Trendline Support 203.20
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 10
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 55
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 203.18
Low Date 08/17/2026
High 223.80
High Date 08/20/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 205.80
Support 203.20
High 239.38
High Date 07/07/2026
Low 203.08
Low Date 07/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 189.20
Low Date 05/29/2026
High 239.38
High Date 07/07/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 189.20
Low Date 05/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.