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- 12/19/2025 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance lineWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR dropped -10.57 points, or -4.50%, and closed at 224.28 on Friday, December 19, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was 37% above average.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2009 at 9.76 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -283.24 points, or -2902.05%, in 835 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (46.26) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2014 at 22.53 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -270.47 points, or -1200.49%, in 579 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (147.87) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 8, 2025 at 219.26 and reached 237.44 on December 16, 2025. PGR gained -18.18 points, or -8.29%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 72.39% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.51
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 67.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 55.06
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.22
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.40
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 38.03
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 54.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.86
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 49.81
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.74
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 236.93
Upper Bollinger Band 234.00
20 Day Moving Average 227.61
Daily Stochastic Crossing 227.02
Price 224.28
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 223.15
50 Day Moving Average 223.03
Lower Bollinger Band 219.74
Monthly Trendline Support 188.95
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 93
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 219.26
Low Date 12/08/2025
High 237.44
High Date 12/16/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 199.90
Low Date 11/03/2025
High 237.44
High Date 12/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 282.13
Support 188.95
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 199.90
Low Date 11/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 175.26
Support 147.87
Low 22.53
Low Date 02/04/2014
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 53.71
Support 46.26
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.