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- 11/21/2025 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance lineStochastic signal line moved above oversold area
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergencePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageBroken trend resistance line
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It was a third positive week after 4 consecutive negative weeks for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR climbed 1.73 points, or 0.77%, and closed at 226.91 on Friday, November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 8% above average.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2009 at 9.76 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -283.24 points, or -2902.05%, in 835 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (46.11) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2014 at 22.53 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -270.47 points, or -1200.49%, in 579 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (146.83) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 23, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 3, 2025 at 289.96 and reached 199.90 on November 3, 2025. PGR lost 90.06 points, or 31.06%, in 153 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (189.69) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. PGR may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 6, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 89.54
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.42
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.18
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.36 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.62
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 54.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 25.36
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 38.25
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.11
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 237.03
50 Day Moving Average 228.93
Daily Stochastic Crossing 226.92
Price 226.91
Parabolic System 222.45
20 Day Moving Average 216.61
Weekly Trendline Resistance 215.86
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 214.08
Lower Bollinger Band 206.55
Weekly Trendline Support 189.69
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 9
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 100
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 199.90
Low Date 11/03/2025
High 229.92
High Date 11/21/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 215.86
Support 189.69
High 289.96
High Date 06/03/2025
Low 199.90
Low Date 11/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 199.90
Low Date 11/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 174.22
Support 146.83
Low 22.53
Low Date 02/04/2014
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 53.55
Support 46.11
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.