The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 8/7/2026 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Broken trend support lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE dropped -2.05 points, or -3.44%, and closed at 57.50 on Friday, August 7, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since June 18, 2026. Weekly volume was -28% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 63.46 on March 30, 2026. XLE gained -26.21 points, or -70.36%, in 50 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 30, 2026 at 63.46 and reached 52.62 on July 1, 2026. XLE lost 10.84 points, or 17.08%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 52.22 and resistance is at 59.06. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 8, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 1, 2026 at 52.62 and reached 60.45 on July 24, 2026. XLE gained -7.83 points, or -14.88%, in 23 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (59.31) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.67
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 62.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 30.17
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 38.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.68
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 54.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.13
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 50.76
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.88
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 59.63
Parabolic System 59.47
Weekly Trendline Support 59.31
Monthly Trendline Resistance 59.06
Weekly Trendline Resistance 58.92
20 Day Moving Average 58.15
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 57.77
Daily Stochastic Crossing 57.77
Price 57.50
50 Day Moving Average 56.61
Lower Bollinger Band 55.89
Monthly Trendline Support 52.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 60.45
High Date 07/24/2026
Low 57.11
Low Date 08/07/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 58.92
Support 59.31
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
High 60.45
High Date 07/24/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 59.06
Support 52.22
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 63.46
High Date 03/30/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.