The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/2/2026 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE gained 0.78 points, or 1.26%, and closed at 62.82 on Friday, October 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -18% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 66.17 on September 10, 2026. XLE gained -28.92 points, or -77.64%, in 74 weeks. The price is now at the 11.58% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on July 1, 2026 at 52.62 and reached 66.17 on September 10, 2026. XLE gained -13.55 points, or -25.75%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (67.35) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. XLE may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 14, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 29, 2026 at 60.95 and reached 62.95 on October 2, 2026. XLE gained -2.00 points, or -3.28%, in 3 days. The price is now at the 6.50% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 9, 2026.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (63.01) comes close to the price (62.82). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 82.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.51
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.08
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.14
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.88
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.33
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.33
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.40
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Support 67.35
Monthly Trendline Resistance 65.88
Upper Bollinger Band 65.59
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 63.64
20 Day Moving Average 63.47
Parabolic System 63.01
Price 62.82
50 Day Moving Average 62.12
Daily Stochastic Crossing 61.99
Lower Bollinger Band 60.08
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 60.95
Low Date 09/29/2026
High 62.95
High Date 10/02/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 66.12
High Date 09/15/2026
Low 60.95
Low Date 09/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 65.88
Support 67.35
Low 52.62
Low Date 07/01/2026
High 66.17
High Date 09/10/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 66.17
High Date 09/10/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 66.17
High Date 09/10/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.