The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/19/2025 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageBroken trend support lineThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE dropped -1.38 points, or -3.03%, and closed at 44.13 on Friday, December 19, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 9% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 12, 2024 at 49.49 and reached 37.25 on April 9, 2025. XLE lost 12.24 points, or 24.73%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 32.03 and resistance is at 48.06. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 46.66 on December 5, 2025. XLE gained -9.41 points, or -25.26%, in 34 weeks. The price is now at the 26.89% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 16, 2025 at 42.35 and reached 46.66 on December 5, 2025. XLE gained -4.31 points, or -10.18%, in 50 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (45.01) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. XLE may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 83.40
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.06
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.28
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.14
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.34
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 52.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 68.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.30
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.34
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 48.06
Weekly Trendline Resistance 47.31
Upper Bollinger Band 46.40
Parabolic System 46.26
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 45.53
20 Day Moving Average 45.15
Weekly Trendline Support 45.01
50 Day Moving Average 44.54
Daily Stochastic Crossing 44.18
Price 44.13
Lower Bollinger Band 43.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 46.66
High Date 12/05/2025
Low 43.77
Low Date 12/16/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 47.31
Support 45.01
Low 42.35
Low Date 10/16/2025
High 46.66
High Date 12/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 46.66
High Date 12/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 48.06
Support 32.03
High 49.49
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 49.49
High Date 04/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.