The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 7/10/2026 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 182.00
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI dropped -1.99 points, or -1.08%, and closed at 181.92 on Friday, July 10, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since March 27, 2026. Weekly volume was -40% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 186.45 on July 6, 2026. XLI gained -171.31 points, or -1131.51%, in 904 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (103.18) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 186.45 on July 6, 2026. XLI gained -103.70 points, or -125.32%, in 196 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (182.00). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 12, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 19, 2026 at 168.11 and reached 186.45 on July 6, 2026. XLI gained -18.34 points, or -10.91%, in 48 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.79
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 44.91
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.15
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.30
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.63
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.49
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.02
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.71
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 203.80
Upper Bollinger Band 185.94
Parabolic System 184.38
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 183.18
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 182.00
Price 181.92
Daily Stochastic Crossing 181.55
20 Day Moving Average 181.13
50 Day Moving Average 176.29
Lower Bollinger Band 175.21
Monthly Trendline Support 171.42
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 168.11
Low Date 05/19/2026
High 186.45
High Date 07/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 156.08
Low Date 03/30/2026
High 186.45
High Date 07/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 203.80
Support 171.42
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 186.45
High Date 07/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 182.00
Support 127.94
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 186.45
High Date 07/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 117.83
Support 103.18
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 186.45
High Date 07/06/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.