The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 6/27/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceStochastic has raised above the signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger BandThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a first positive week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI gained 4.42 points, or 3.10%, and closed at 146.79 on Friday, June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was 35% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 147.43 on June 27, 2025. XLI gained -132.29 points, or -873.78%, in 851 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (97.84) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 147.43 on June 27, 2025. XLI gained -64.68 points, or -78.16%, in 143 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 115.60 and resistance is at 157.62. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 141.28 and reached 147.43 on June 27, 2025. XLI gained -6.15 points, or -4.35%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 10.41% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 28, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 3.05% on Friday. It is 60.26% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.78
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 25.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.94
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.46
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.56
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.15
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.91
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.53
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.34
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 157.62
Price 146.79
Daily Stochastic Crossing 146.54
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 146.49
Upper Bollinger Band 145.60
20 Day Moving Average 143.85
Parabolic System 141.76
Lower Bollinger Band 141.11
50 Day Moving Average 138.77
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 141.28
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 147.43
High Date 06/27/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 141.28
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 147.43
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 147.43
High Date 06/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 157.62
Support 115.60
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 147.43
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 112.49
Support 97.84
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 147.43
High Date 06/27/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.