The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.
Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.
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iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe price touches the upper Bollinger BandPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY). During the week, the SHY gave back -0.07 points, or -0.08%, and closed at 83.12 on Friday, August 03, 2018. Weekly volume was 158% above average.

Long-term trend: [See SHY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 7, 2017 at 84.72 and reached 83.04 on August 1, 2018. SHY lost 1.68 points, or 1.98%, in 46 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 82.96 and resistance is at 83.30. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SHY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 29, 2018 at 83.64 and reached 83.04 on August 1, 2018. SHY lost 0.60 points, or 0.72%, in 9 weeks. The price is now at the 13.33% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SHY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 18, 2018. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SHY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 19, 2018 at 83.29 and reached 83.04 on August 1, 2018. SHY lost 0.25 points, or 0.30%, in 13 days. The price is now at the 32.00% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SHY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 26, 2018. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (83.23) comes close to the price (83.12). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.29
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 28.58
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.96
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.03
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.53
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.00
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.32
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 26.81
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.17
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 83.30
Upper Bollinger Band 83.29
50 Day Moving Average 83.26
Parabolic System 83.23
20 Day Moving Average 83.20
Price 83.12
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 83.11
Lower Bollinger Band 83.10
Daily Stochastic Crossing 83.09
Quarterly Trendline Support 82.96
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 83.29
High Date 07/19/2018
Low 83.04
Low Date 08/01/2018
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 83.41
High Date 06/28/2018
Low 83.04
Low Date 08/01/2018
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 83.64
High Date 05/29/2018
Low 83.04
Low Date 08/01/2018
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 83.30
Support 82.96
High 84.72
High Date 09/07/2017
Low 83.04
Low Date 08/01/2018
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 85.37
High Date 10/13/2014
Low 83.04
Low Date 08/01/2018
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.

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