The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
Sign In May 18, 2018
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.
Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.
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iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic bullish divergence
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price touches the upper Bollinger BandPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY). During the week, the SHY gave back -0.03 points, or -0.04%, and closed at 83.16 on Friday, May 11, 2018. Weekly volume was 253% above average.

Long-term trend: [See SHY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 7, 2017 at 84.72 and reached 83.13 on May 1, 2018. SHY lost 1.59 points, or 1.88%, in 33 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 82.96 and resistance is at 83.29. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SHY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2018 at 83.57 and reached 83.13 on May 1, 2018. SHY lost 0.44 points, or 0.53%, in 4 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (83.05) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SHY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 27, 2018. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SHY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 4, 2018 at 83.24 and reached 83.16 on May 9, 2018. SHY lost 0.08 points, or 0.10%, in 5 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SHY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 10, 2018. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 79.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 27.81
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 29.22
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.06
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.65
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.04
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 20.40
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.23 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 83.38
50 Day Moving Average 83.36
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 83.29
20 Day Moving Average 83.24
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 83.18
Daily Stochastic Crossing 83.16
Price 83.16
Monthly Trendline Resistance 83.15
Lower Bollinger Band 83.11
Monthly Trendline Support 83.05
Parabolic System 83.05
Quarterly Trendline Support 82.96
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 83.24
High Date 05/04/2018
Low 83.16
Low Date 05/09/2018
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 83.24
High Date 05/04/2018
Low 83.16
Low Date 05/09/2018
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 83.15
Support 83.05
High 83.57
High Date 03/28/2018
Low 83.13
Low Date 05/01/2018
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 83.29
Support 82.96
High 84.72
High Date 09/07/2017
Low 83.13
Low Date 05/01/2018
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 85.37
High Date 10/13/2014
Low 83.13
Low Date 05/01/2018
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.

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