The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Idx TR ETN (DJP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Idx TR ETN (DJP). During the week, the DJP gained 1.26 points, or 4.05%, and closed at 32.36 on Friday, April 5, 2024. Weekly volume was -51% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DJP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 15.61 and reached 41.71 on June 8, 2022. DJP gained -26.10 points, or -167.20%, in 116 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 32.73 and resistance is at 29.61. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DJP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 14, 2024 at 29.40 and reached 32.50 on April 5, 2024. DJP gained -3.10 points, or -10.54%, in 7 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (30.72) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DJP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since March 8, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DJP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 27, 2024 at 30.50 and reached 32.50 on April 5, 2024. DJP gained -2.00 points, or -6.56%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 7.00% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DJP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.28
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.13
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.32
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.19
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.60
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.16
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.37
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Support 32.73
Daily Stochastic Crossing 32.42
Price 32.36
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 32.28
Upper Bollinger Band 32.22
Weekly Trendline Resistance 31.84
20 Day Moving Average 31.17
Parabolic System 31.14
Weekly Trendline Support 30.72
50 Day Moving Average 30.49
Lower Bollinger Band 30.19
Yearly Trendline Resistance 29.61
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 30.50
Low Date 03/27/2024
High 32.50
High Date 04/05/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 31.84
Support 30.72
Low 29.40
Low Date 02/14/2024
High 32.50
High Date 04/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 33.23
High Date 09/19/2023
Low 29.40
Low Date 02/14/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 41.71
High Date 06/08/2022
Low 29.15
Low Date 05/31/2023
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 29.61
Support 32.73
Low 15.61
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 41.71
High Date 06/08/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.