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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineLane's Stochastic is overboughtTrend resistance at 1109.07
Daily :Bullish Harami CandlestickThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY). During the week, the ORLY gave back -11.32 points, or -1.00%, and closed at 1117.56 on Friday, April 5, 2024. Weekly volume was -26% below average.

Long-term trend: [See ORLY long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 23, 2020 at 251.52 and reached 1169.11 on March 21, 2024. ORLY gained -917.59 points, or -364.82%, in 208 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (1109.07). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ORLY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 8, 2024 at 914.50 and reached 1169.11 on March 21, 2024. ORLY gained -254.61 points, or -27.84%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (1177.33) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ORLY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 19, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ORLY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 21, 2024 at 1169.11 and reached 1098.74 on April 4, 2024. ORLY lost 70.37 points, or 6.02%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 26.74% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ORLY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 27, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See ORLY candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Harami Candlestick pattern. A Bullish Harami indicates that the bearish trend may be reversing, it signals that it's a good time to enter into a long position. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Harami Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 67.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.69
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 35.08
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 19.07
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.42
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 26.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.64
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.78
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 37.82
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 1200.80
Weekly Trendline Support 1177.33
Upper Bollinger Band 1162.48
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 1147.91
Parabolic System 1145.81
20 Day Moving Average 1123.88
Price 1117.56
Daily Stochastic Crossing 1110.10
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 1109.07
50 Day Moving Average 1081.38
Lower Bollinger Band 1072.58
Quarterly Trendline Support 989.44
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Specialty Stores 77
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 1169.11
High Date 03/21/2024
Low 1098.74
Low Date 04/04/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 1200.80
Support 1177.33
Low 914.50
Low Date 01/08/2024
High 1169.11
High Date 03/21/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 860.10
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 1169.11
High Date 03/21/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 1109.07
Support 989.44
Low 251.52
Low Date 03/23/2020
High 1169.11
High Date 03/21/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 169.43
Low Date 07/10/2017
High 1169.11
High Date 03/21/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.