The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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United Parcel Service (UPS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sector
Daily :Price has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the United Parcel Service (UPS). During the week, the UPS gained 2.73 points, or 1.84%, and closed at 151.36 on Friday, April 5, 2024. Weekly volume was 19% above average.

UPS is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See UPS long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 1, 2022 at 233.72 and reached 133.68 on October 27, 2023. UPS lost 100.04 points, or 42.80%, in 90 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 122.90 and resistance is at 177.74. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See UPS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 18, 2023 at 163.82 and reached 138.90 on February 5, 2024. UPS lost 24.92 points, or 15.21%, in 7 weeks. The price is now at the 50% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See UPS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 1, 2023. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See UPS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 22, 2024 at 158.95 and reached 143.03 on March 26, 2024. UPS lost 15.92 points, or 10.02%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 52.32% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See UPS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 25, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 58.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 44.96
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.60
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.05
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.16
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 51.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.26
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.27
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.73
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 177.74
Upper Bollinger Band 158.01
Parabolic System 153.76
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 152.72
20 Day Moving Average 152.30
Price 151.36
Daily Stochastic Crossing 150.36
50 Day Moving Average 149.88
Lower Bollinger Band 144.06
Yearly Trendline Support 122.90
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Air Freight & Logistics 19
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 158.95
High Date 03/22/2024
Low 143.03
Low Date 03/26/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 138.90
Low Date 02/05/2024
High 158.95
High Date 03/22/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 163.82
High Date 12/18/2023
Low 138.90
Low Date 02/05/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 197.80
High Date 04/20/2023
Low 133.68
Low Date 10/27/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 177.74
Support 122.90
High 233.72
High Date 02/01/2022
Low 133.68
Low Date 10/27/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.