The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/5/2024 -
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Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought
Daily :Broken trend support lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceBullish Harami CandlestickThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG). During the week, the VUG gave back -1.42 points, or -0.41%, and closed at 342.78 on Friday, April 5, 2024. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VUG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 203.64 and reached 348.88 on March 21, 2024. VUG gained -145.24 points, or -71.32%, in 75 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 284.83 and resistance is at 366.66. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VUG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 26, 2023 at 260.65 and reached 348.88 on March 21, 2024. VUG gained -88.23 points, or -33.85%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (350.70) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VUG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 24, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VUG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 5, 2024 at 300.28 and reached 348.88 on March 21, 2024. VUG gained -48.60 points, or -16.18%, in 76 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (351.82) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VUG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 4, 2024.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (346.17) comes close to the price (342.78). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (3.14%) is close to one year low (3.44%). It is 55.35% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See VUG candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Harami Candlestick pattern. A Bullish Harami indicates that the bearish trend may be reversing, it signals that it's a good time to enter into a long position. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Harami Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 75.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.35
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 39.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.53
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.52
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.85
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.04
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 15.16
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 371.04
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 366.66
Weekly Trendline Resistance 352.66
Weekly Trendline Support 351.82
Monthly Trendline Support 350.70
Upper Bollinger Band 347.14
Parabolic System 346.17
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 345.55
Price 342.78
20 Day Moving Average 342.69
Daily Stochastic Crossing 340.36
50 Day Moving Average 336.97
Lower Bollinger Band 336.37
Quarterly Trendline Support 284.83
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 348.88
High Date 03/21/2024
Low 337.60
Low Date 04/04/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 352.66
Support 351.82
Low 300.28
Low Date 01/05/2024
High 348.88
High Date 03/21/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 371.04
Support 350.70
Low 260.65
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 348.88
High Date 03/21/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 366.66
Support 284.83
Low 203.64
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 348.88
High Date 03/21/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 328.52
High Date 11/22/2021
Low 203.64
Low Date 10/13/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.