The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/20/2025 -
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Adobe Systems (ADBE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Adobe Systems (ADBE). During the week, the ADBE dropped -14.76 points, or -3.77%, and closed at 376.92 on Friday, June 20, 2025. Weekly volume was 100% above average.

ADBE is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ADBE long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 2, 2024 at 638.25 and reached 332.00 on April 7, 2025. ADBE lost 306.25 points, or 47.98%, in 61 weeks. The price is now at the 14.67% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See ADBE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 332.00 and reached 422.95 on May 21, 2025. ADBE gained -90.95 points, or -27.39%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (418.87) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. ADBE may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ADBE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ADBE short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 21, 2025 at 422.95 and reached 373.76 on June 20, 2025. ADBE lost 49.19 points, or 11.63%, in 30 days. The price is now at the 6.42% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ADBE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 30, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.06
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 85.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 15.79
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.31
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.68
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 63.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.88
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.33
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -25.11
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 425.54
Weekly Trendline Resistance 420.01
Weekly Trendline Support 418.87
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 409.68
20 Day Moving Average 406.38
Parabolic System 396.72
50 Day Moving Average 388.32
Daily Stochastic Crossing 380.43
Price 376.92
Lower Bollinger Band 374.03
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 11
Industry Application Software 98
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 422.95
High Date 05/21/2025
Low 373.76
Low Date 06/20/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 420.01
Support 418.87
Low 332.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 422.95
High Date 05/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 587.75
High Date 09/12/2024
Low 332.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 638.25
High Date 02/02/2024
Low 332.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 15.70
Low Date 02/27/2009
High 699.54
High Date 11/22/2021
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.