The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Price vs. Parabolic:Crossover
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Parabolic SAR Crossover - Stock market timing signals.

The Parabolic System is also known as a Stop and Reverse (Parabolic SAR) system, and it was developed by Welles Wilder, the author of the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Parabolic System is a trend following technique that is useful for catching new trends early. The Parabolic System used to set trailing price stops. The stops below the price are considered as bullish, above the price as bearish. Parabolic SAR crossover generates excellent buy and sell signals in trending market but tends to whipsaw during non-trending, sideways phases.

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- 4/4/2025 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the pricePrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV climbed 0.22 points, or 0.28%, and closed at 78.46 on Friday, April 4, 2025. Weekly volume was 44% above average.

Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 21, 2022 at 74.03 and reached 79.02 on September 27, 2024. BSV gained -4.99 points, or -6.74%, in 101 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 75.46 and resistance is at 79.71. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 76.93 and reached 78.78 on April 4, 2025. BSV gained -1.85 points, or -2.40%, in 11 weeks. The price is now at the 17.30% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 28, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2025 at 77.04 and reached 78.78 on April 4, 2025. BSV gained -1.74 points, or -2.26%, in 59 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (78.31) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since March 27, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (78.1) comes close to the price (78.46). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.47
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 61.11
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.63
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.12
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.63
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.29
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.52
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 79.71
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 78.54
Price 78.46
Upper Bollinger Band 78.42
Daily Stochastic Crossing 78.41
Weekly Trendline Resistance 78.34
Weekly Trendline Support 78.31
Parabolic System 78.10
20 Day Moving Average 78.07
50 Day Moving Average 77.79
Lower Bollinger Band 77.74
Yearly Trendline Support 75.46
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 77.81
Low Date 03/06/2025
High 78.78
High Date 04/04/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 78.34
Support 78.31
Low 77.04
Low Date 02/04/2025
High 78.78
High Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 76.93
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 78.78
High Date 04/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 79.02
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 76.93
Low Date 01/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 79.71
Support 75.46
Low 74.03
Low Date 10/21/2022
High 79.02
High Date 09/27/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.