The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 1/17/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineBullish Doji CandlestickThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week after 6 consecutive negative weeks for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI gained 6.50 points, or 4.95%, and closed at 137.80 on Friday, January 17, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since November 8, 2024. Weekly volume was -11% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 144.51 on November 27, 2024. XLI gained -129.37 points, or -854.49%, in 820 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (95.57) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on November 27, 2024 at 144.51 and reached 130.40 on January 13, 2025. XLI lost 14.11 points, or 9.76%, in 6 weeks. The price is now at the 52.45% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since December 13, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 130.40 and reached 138.30 on January 17, 2025. XLI gained -7.90 points, or -6.06%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 6.33% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See XLI candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.16
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.70
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.51
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.23
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.25
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.11
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 45.23
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.75
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 138.12
Price 137.80
50 Day Moving Average 137.68
Daily Stochastic Crossing 137.61
20 Day Moving Average 133.36
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 132.80
Parabolic System 131.51
Lower Bollinger Band 131.36
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 130.40
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 138.30
High Date 01/17/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 144.51
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 130.40
Low Date 01/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 96.11
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 144.51
High Date 11/27/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 144.51
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 110.22
Support 95.57
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 144.51
High Date 11/27/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.