The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 3/21/2025 -
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Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineStochastic signal line moved below overbought area
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV). During the week, the XLV gained 1.70 points, or 1.17%, and closed at 146.60 on Friday, March 21, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since January 31, 2025. Weekly volume was -11% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on June 16, 2022 at 118.75 and reached 159.64 on September 4, 2024. XLV gained -40.89 points, or -34.43%, in 115 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 126.50 and resistance is at 165.27. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on December 19, 2024 at 136.00 and reached 150.30 on March 3, 2025. XLV gained -14.30 points, or -10.51%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (148.52) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 3, 2025 at 150.30 and reached 143.40 on March 14, 2025. XLV lost 6.90 points, or 4.59%, in 11 days. The price is now at the 46.38% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 7, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 53.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 55.15
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 46.48
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.27
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 29.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.76
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.73
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.58
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 165.27
Weekly Trendline Resistance 151.62
Upper Bollinger Band 149.92
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 148.75
Weekly Trendline Support 148.52
20 Day Moving Average 147.35
Price 146.60
Daily Stochastic Crossing 145.78
50 Day Moving Average 145.75
Lower Bollinger Band 143.50
Parabolic System 143.34
Quarterly Trendline Support 126.50
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 150.30
High Date 03/03/2025
Low 143.40
Low Date 03/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 151.62
Support 148.52
Low 136.00
Low Date 12/19/2024
High 150.30
High Date 03/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Low 136.00
Low Date 12/19/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 165.27
Support 126.50
Low 118.75
Low Date 06/16/2022
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.63
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.