The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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S&P 500 (^GSPC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 6725.07
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the S&P 500 (^GSPC). During the week, the ^GSPC gained 80.07 points, or 1.22%, and closed at 6664.36 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 70% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ^GSPC long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 3491.58 and reached 6671.82 on September 19, 2025. ^GSPC gained -3180.24 points, or -91.08%, in 153 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (6725.07). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ^GSPC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 4835.04 and reached 6671.82 on September 19, 2025. ^GSPC gained -1836.78 points, or -37.99%, in 23 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ^GSPC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 6343.86 and reached 6671.82 on September 19, 2025. ^GSPC gained -327.96 points, or -5.17%, in 30 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ^GSPC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 9, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.51
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.80
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.79
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 56.70
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.44
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.87
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.58
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 161.65 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 6725.07
Upper Bollinger Band 6674.48
Price 6664.36
Daily Stochastic Crossing 6654.77
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 6639.23
Parabolic System 6582.68
20 Day Moving Average 6524.67
50 Day Moving Average 6421.69
Lower Bollinger Band 6390.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 6360.58
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 6671.82
High Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 6343.86
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 6671.82
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 4835.04
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 6671.82
High Date 09/19/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 6725.07
Support 5093.96
Low 3491.58
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 6671.82
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 666.79
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 6671.82
High Date 09/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.