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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 8/8/2025 -
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Adobe Systems (ADBE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Weekly  MACD line has moved below its signal lineLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldTrend support at 340.31
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the Adobe Systems (ADBE). During the week, the ADBE dropped -6.75 points, or -1.94%, and closed at 341.05 on Friday, August 8, 2025. Weekly volume was 27% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ADBE long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 12, 2024 at 587.75 and reached 332.00 on April 7, 2025. ADBE lost 255.75 points, or 43.51%, in 29 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 214.13 and resistance is at 361.65. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ADBE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 21, 2025 at 422.95 and reached 332.65 on August 7, 2025. ADBE lost 90.30 points, or 21.35%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (340.31) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ADBE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ADBE short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 29, 2025 at 376.16 and reached 332.65 on August 7, 2025. ADBE lost 43.51 points, or 11.57%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 19.31% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ADBE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.85
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.68
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.68
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.53
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.14
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -20.97
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 383.32
50 Day Moving Average 379.96
Weekly Trendline Resistance 364.79
Monthly Trendline Resistance 361.65
20 Day Moving Average 359.64
Parabolic System 355.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 341.86
Price 341.05
Weekly Trendline Support 340.31
Daily Stochastic Crossing 338.09
Lower Bollinger Band 333.64
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 7
Industry Application Software 71
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 376.16
High Date 07/29/2025
Low 332.65
Low Date 08/07/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Support
Resistance 364.79
Support 340.31
High 422.95
High Date 05/21/2025
Low 332.65
Low Date 08/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 361.65
Support 214.13
High 587.75
High Date 09/12/2024
Low 332.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 638.25
High Date 02/02/2024
Low 332.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 15.70
Low Date 02/27/2009
High 699.54
High Date 11/22/2021
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.