The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 2/14/2025 -
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iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price touches the upper Bollinger BandThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was a fifth consecutive positive week for the iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG). During the week, the AGG climbed 0.24 points, or 0.25%, and closed at 97.70 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was -15% below average.

Long-term trend: [See AGG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 23, 2023 at 91.58 and reached 102.04 on September 16, 2024. AGG gained -10.46 points, or -11.42%, in 47 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (100.05) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AGG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2024 at 102.04 and reached 95.74 on January 13, 2025. AGG lost 6.30 points, or 6.17%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (94.60) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. AGG may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AGG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 11, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AGG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 5, 2025 at 98.00 and reached 96.61 on February 12, 2025. AGG lost 1.39 points, or 1.42%, in 7 days. The price is now at the 78.42% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AGG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since February 13, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (1.23%) is close to one year low (1.37%). It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.16
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.00
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 43.55
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 59.24
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.05
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 65.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 36.35
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 40.22
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.27
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 103.39
Quarterly Trendline Support 100.05
Parabolic System 97.93
Upper Bollinger Band 97.90
Price 97.70
50 Day Moving Average 97.36
20 Day Moving Average 97.34
Monthly Trendline Resistance 97.34
Daily Stochastic Crossing 97.20
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 96.75
Lower Bollinger Band 96.70
Monthly Trendline Support 94.60
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 98.00
High Date 02/05/2025
Low 96.61
Low Date 02/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 95.74
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 98.00
High Date 02/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 97.34
Support 94.60
High 102.04
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 95.74
Low Date 01/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 103.39
Support 100.05
Low 91.58
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 102.04
High Date 09/16/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 119.73
High Date 08/06/2020
Low 91.58
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.