The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Weekly Pattern:Falling Pennant
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Chart Analysis and Chart Pattern Recognition – Bear Flag, Bull Flag, Bearish Pennant and Bullish Pennant.


Bear flag, bull flag, bearish pennant and bullish pennant chart patterns represent brief pauses after sharp moves in a dynamic market. They are considered as most reliable continuation patterns. Flags are characterized as short-term channels slanting against the main trend. Pennants represent short-term triangle formations. Volume is heavy during the sharp move preceding the formation.
Trading technique:
# 1 Flags and pennants present an additional opportunity to enter the dynamic market.
Tips:
# 1
Usually flags and pennants represent short-term pauses technically required to reset overbought/oversold technical indicators and allow further movement. They likely to appear at earlier stages of the larger patterns, when short-term technical indicators are grossly overbought/oversold, but long-term indicators are in the middle range. In a situation when both long and short-term indicators are overbought (oversold), flags and pennants have more chances to become the beginning of a larger formation. Flags and pennants are considered invalid as soon as they break the parent's formation trend line.
# 2 As a continuation pattern, rectangle usually appears within a young trend characterized by neutral long-term indicators and overbought/oversold short-term indicators. Rectangle resets daily CTI to neutral and then continues the movement in parent's direction.
# 3 For the best results, chart patterns should be considered together with other technical analysis signals and technical trading techniques.
Estimated Target: projected support/resistance level of larger trend.

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- 4/26/2024 -
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iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond (AGG). During the week, the AGG gave back -0.05 points, or -0.05%, and closed at 95.33 on Friday, April 26, 2024. AGG was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See AGG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 23, 2023 at 91.58 and reached 99.70 on December 27, 2023. AGG gained -8.12 points, or -8.87%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (100.17) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. AGG may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AGG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 27, 2023 at 99.70 and reached 94.85 on April 25, 2024. AGG lost 4.85 points, or 4.86%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 94.76 and resistance is at 97.55. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AGG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 28, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AGG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 8, 2024 at 98.40 and reached 94.85 on April 25, 2024. AGG lost 3.55 points, or 3.61%, in 48 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 94.77 and resistance is at 97.56. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AGG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 1, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (95.51) comes close to the price (95.33). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 81.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.96
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.11
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.52
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 90.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.09
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 21.88
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.19
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Support 100.17
Weekly Trendline Resistance 97.56
Monthly Trendline Resistance 97.55
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 97.50
Upper Bollinger Band 97.36
50 Day Moving Average 96.89
20 Day Moving Average 95.96
Parabolic System 95.51
Price 95.33
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 95.27
Daily Stochastic Crossing 95.27
Weekly Trendline Support 94.77
Monthly Trendline Support 94.76
Lower Bollinger Band 94.55
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 94.85
Low Date 04/25/2024
High 95.47
High Date 04/26/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 97.56
Support 94.77
High 98.40
High Date 03/08/2024
Low 94.85
Low Date 04/25/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 97.55
Support 94.76
High 99.70
High Date 12/27/2023
Low 94.85
Low Date 04/25/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 97.50
Support 100.17
Low 91.58
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 99.70
High Date 12/27/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 119.73
High Date 08/06/2020
Low 91.58
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.