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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/10/2025 -
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Allegion (ALLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldTrend support at 127.91
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Allegion (ALLE). During the week, the ALLE dropped -4.00 points, or -3.07%, and closed at 126.20 on Friday, January 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 26% above average.

Long-term trend: [See ALLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 25, 2023 at 95.94 and reached 156.10 on October 18, 2024. ALLE gained -60.16 points, or -62.71%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (127.91) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ALLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 156.10 and reached 126.00 on January 10, 2025. ALLE lost 30.10 points, or 19.28%, in 12 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ALLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 8, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ALLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 5, 2024 at 144.42 and reached 126.00 on January 10, 2025. ALLE lost 18.42 points, or 12.75%, in 36 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 118.78 and resistance is at 127.51. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ALLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 12, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.92
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.63
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.80 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.74
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.35
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.51
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.40
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 140.15
50 Day Moving Average 137.45
20 Day Moving Average 132.48
Parabolic System 128.94
Quarterly Trendline Support 127.91
Weekly Trendline Resistance 127.51
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 127.39
Daily Stochastic Crossing 126.84
Price 126.20
Lower Bollinger Band 124.28
Weekly Trendline Support 118.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 6
Industry Building Products 29
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 134.00
High Date 12/26/2024
Low 126.00
Low Date 01/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 127.51
Support 118.78
High 144.42
High Date 12/05/2024
Low 126.00
Low Date 01/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 156.10
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 126.00
Low Date 01/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Support
Resistance 161.53
Support 127.91
Low 95.94
Low Date 10/25/2023
High 156.10
High Date 10/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 87.33
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 156.10
High Date 10/18/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.