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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/26/2025 -
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Avery Dennison Corp. (AVY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldMACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Avery Dennison Corp. (AVY). During the week, the AVY dropped -3.63 points, or -2.21%, and closed at 160.75 on Friday, September 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -22% below average.

Long-term trend: [See AVY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on July 23, 2024 at 233.48 and reached 157.00 on April 8, 2025. AVY lost 76.48 points, or 32.76%, in 37 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 126.12 and resistance is at 175.87. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 10, 2025 at 186.58 and reached 158.52 on September 25, 2025. AVY lost 28.06 points, or 15.04%, in 11 weeks. The price is now at the 7.95% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 5, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2025 at 180.59 and reached 158.52 on September 25, 2025. AVY lost 22.07 points, or 12.22%, in 34 days. The price is now at the 10.10% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 27, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.08
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.88
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.99
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.54 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.35
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.70
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.15
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 175.87
Upper Bollinger Band 171.53
50 Day Moving Average 170.56
20 Day Moving Average 165.53
Parabolic System 163.05
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 160.80
Price 160.75
Lower Bollinger Band 159.69
Daily Stochastic Crossing 159.68
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 3
Industry Paper Packaging 34
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 169.47
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 158.52
Low Date 09/25/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 180.59
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 158.52
Low Date 09/25/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 186.58
High Date 07/10/2025
Low 158.52
Low Date 09/25/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 175.87
Support 126.12
High 233.48
High Date 07/23/2024
Low 157.00
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 17.02
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 233.48
High Date 07/23/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.