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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 12/12/2025 -
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BIOGEN IDEC INC (BIIB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 175.01
Daily :Broken trend support lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal line
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It was the negative week for the BIOGEN IDEC INC (BIIB). During the week, the BIIB dropped -7.20 points, or -3.97%, and closed at 174.10 on Friday, December 12, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 20% above average.

BIIB is a member of Health Care Sector. Health Care is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See BIIB long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on June 12, 2023 at 319.76 and reached 110.00 on April 9, 2025. BIIB lost 209.76 points, or 65.60%, in 95 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (57.62) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BIIB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.00 and reached 185.17 on November 24, 2025. BIIB gained -75.17 points, or -68.34%, in 32 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (175.01). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BIIB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BIIB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 30, 2025 at 138.00 and reached 185.17 on November 24, 2025. BIIB gained -47.17 points, or -34.18%, in 25 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (184.98) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BIIB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 52.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 38.99
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.25
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.03
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.08
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.87
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.96
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 192.11
Weekly Trendline Support 184.98
Upper Bollinger Band 184.69
Parabolic System 180.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 179.94
20 Day Moving Average 175.88
Monthly Trendline Resistance 175.01
Price 174.10
Daily Stochastic Crossing 173.83
Lower Bollinger Band 162.22
50 Day Moving Average 161.00
Monthly Trendline Support 145.07
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 10
Industry Biotechnology 104
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 185.17
High Date 11/24/2025
Low 169.24
Low Date 12/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 192.11
Support 184.98
Low 138.00
Low Date 10/30/2025
High 185.17
High Date 11/24/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 175.01
Support 145.07
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 185.17
High Date 11/24/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 123.58
Support 57.62
High 319.76
High Date 06/12/2023
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 480.18
High Date 03/20/2015
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.