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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 12/5/2025 -
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BIOGEN IDEC INC (BIIB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the BIOGEN IDEC INC (BIIB). During the week, the BIIB gave back -0.79 points, or -0.43%, and closed at 181.30 on Friday, December 5, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 17, 2025. BIIB was trading at average weekly trading volume.

BIIB is a member of Health Care Sector. Health Care is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See BIIB long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on June 12, 2023 at 319.76 and reached 110.00 on April 9, 2025. BIIB lost 209.76 points, or 65.60%, in 95 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (59.19) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. BIIB may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BIIB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.00 and reached 185.17 on November 24, 2025. BIIB gained -75.17 points, or -68.34%, in 32 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (144.05) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BIIB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BIIB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 30, 2025 at 138.00 and reached 185.17 on November 24, 2025. BIIB gained -47.17 points, or -34.18%, in 25 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 178.86 and resistance is at 201.33. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BIIB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 30, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.77
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.37
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.35
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.39
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.48
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.85
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 201.33
Upper Bollinger Band 190.19
Parabolic System 183.72
Daily Stochastic Crossing 181.51
Price 181.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 181.00
Weekly Trendline Support 178.86
Monthly Trendline Resistance 173.29
20 Day Moving Average 171.74
50 Day Moving Average 157.90
Lower Bollinger Band 153.88
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 11
Industry Biotechnology 114
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 174.53
Low Date 12/02/2025
High 183.15
High Date 12/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 201.33
Support 178.86
Low 138.00
Low Date 10/30/2025
High 185.17
High Date 11/24/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 173.29
Support 144.05
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 185.17
High Date 11/24/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 125.16
Support 59.19
High 319.76
High Date 06/12/2023
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 480.18
High Date 03/20/2015
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.