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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/21/2025 -
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BIOGEN IDEC INC (BIIB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtTrend resistance at 166.84
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It was a fifth consecutive positive week for the BIOGEN IDEC INC (BIIB). During the week, the BIIB gained 7.75 points, or 4.63%, and closed at 175.30 on Friday, November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 33% above average.

BIIB is a member of Health Care Sector. Health Care is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See BIIB long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on June 12, 2023 at 319.76 and reached 110.00 on April 9, 2025. BIIB lost 209.76 points, or 65.60%, in 95 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (62.02) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. BIIB may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BIIB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.00 and reached 176.02 on November 21, 2025. BIIB gained -66.02 points, or -60.02%, in 32 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (142.21) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BIIB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BIIB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 30, 2025 at 138.00 and reached 176.02 on November 21, 2025. BIIB gained -38.02 points, or -27.55%, in 22 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (166.84). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BIIB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 30, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.33
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.87
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.84
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.74
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.42
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.27
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.93
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.96
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 176.31
Weekly Trendline Support 175.90
Price 175.30
Daily Stochastic Crossing 174.02
Monthly Trendline Resistance 170.19
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 168.25
Parabolic System 167.05
Weekly Trendline Resistance 166.84
20 Day Moving Average 158.61
50 Day Moving Average 150.84
Lower Bollinger Band 144.31
Monthly Trendline Support 142.21
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 12
Industry Biotechnology 116
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 151.83
Low Date 11/07/2025
High 176.02
High Date 11/21/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 166.84
Support 175.90
Low 138.00
Low Date 10/30/2025
High 176.02
High Date 11/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 170.19
Support 142.21
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 176.02
High Date 11/21/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 127.99
Support 62.02
High 319.76
High Date 06/12/2023
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 480.18
High Date 03/20/2015
Low 110.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.