The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/10/2025 -
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Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought area
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price touches the upper Bollinger BandThe Bollinger Bands are historically close togetherPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND). During the week, the BND climbed 0.21 points, or 0.28%, and closed at 74.52 on Friday, October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 15% above average.

Long-term trend: [See BND long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 23, 2023 at 67.99 and reached 75.67 on September 16, 2024. BND gained -7.68 points, or -11.30%, in 47 weeks. The price is now at the 14.97% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See BND medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 11, 2025 at 71.41 and reached 74.92 on September 17, 2025. BND gained -3.51 points, or -4.92%, in 22 weeks. The price is now at the 11.40% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BND weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BND short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 74.92 and reached 74.07 on September 25, 2025. BND lost 0.85 points, or 1.13%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 52.94% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BND daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 18, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (0.81%) is close to one year low (0.81%). It is 59.82% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 57.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.44
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.21
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.11
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.53
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.24
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 73.82
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.28
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 74.60
Price 74.52
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 74.46
20 Day Moving Average 74.38
Daily Stochastic Crossing 74.35
Parabolic System 74.06
50 Day Moving Average 74.02
Lower Bollinger Band 73.98
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 74.13
Low Date 10/06/2025
High 74.58
High Date 10/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 74.92
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 74.07
Low Date 09/25/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 71.41
Low Date 04/11/2025
High 74.92
High Date 09/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 71.10
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 74.92
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 67.99
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 75.67
High Date 09/16/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.