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Downtrend Broken Resist.Archive
- 8/29/2025 -
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Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND). During the week, the BND climbed 0.06 points, or 0.08%, and closed at 73.80 on Friday, August 29, 2025. Weekly volume was -11% below average.
 Long-term trend: [See BND long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2024 at 75.67 and reached 71.10 on January 13, 2025. BND lost 4.57 points, or 6.04%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (71.89) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. BND may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See BND medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 11, 2025 at 71.41 and reached 73.92 on August 28, 2025. BND gained -2.51 points, or -3.51%, in 19 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (73.76). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BND weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See BND short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 16, 2025 at 72.52 and reached 73.92 on August 28, 2025. BND gained -1.40 points, or -1.93%, in 43 days. The price is now at the 8.57% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See BND daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.
During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.
A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (73.52) comes close to the price (73.80). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (0.81%) is close to one year low (0.98%). It is 60.43% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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