The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

Archive
- 7/11/2025 -
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Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND). During the week, the BND gave back -0.28 points, or -0.38%, and closed at 72.80 on Friday, July 11, 2025. BND was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See BND long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2024 at 75.67 and reached 71.10 on January 13, 2025. BND lost 4.57 points, or 6.04%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 71.72 and resistance is at 73.70. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BND medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 74.34 and reached 71.41 on April 11, 2025. BND lost 2.93 points, or 3.94%, in 1 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (72.18) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BND weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BND short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 71.76 and reached 73.67 on June 30, 2025. BND gained -1.91 points, or -2.66%, in 39 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BND daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (73.23) comes close to the price (72.80). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 69.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.62
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 33.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.13
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.47
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 49.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 64.93
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.04
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 73.70
Upper Bollinger Band 73.54
Parabolic System 73.23
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 73.11
20 Day Moving Average 73.06
Daily Stochastic Crossing 72.89
Price 72.80
50 Day Moving Average 72.72
Lower Bollinger Band 72.42
Monthly Trendline Support 72.18
Quarterly Trendline Support 71.72
Monthly Trendline Resistance 71.37
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 71.76
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 73.67
High Date 06/30/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 71.41
Low Date 04/11/2025
High 73.67
High Date 06/30/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 71.37
Support 72.18
High 74.34
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 71.41
Low Date 04/11/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 73.70
Support 71.72
High 75.67
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 71.10
Low Date 01/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 67.99
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 75.67
High Date 09/16/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.