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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 8/1/2025 -
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Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 73.56Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND). During the week, the BND climbed 0.47 points, or 0.64%, and closed at 73.59 on Friday, August 1, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since June 13, 2025. Weekly volume was 10% above average.

Long-term trend: [See BND long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 16, 2024 at 75.67 and reached 71.10 on January 13, 2025. BND lost 4.57 points, or 6.04%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (73.56). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BND medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 71.10 and reached 74.34 on April 4, 2025. BND gained -3.24 points, or -4.56%, in 11 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BND weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BND short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 11, 2025 at 71.41 and reached 73.67 on June 30, 2025. BND gained -2.26 points, or -3.16%, in 80 days. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BND daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 24, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.09
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 78.98
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.07
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.46
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 28.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 67.81
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.29
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.01
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 73.59
Upper Bollinger Band 73.56
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 73.56
Daily Stochastic Crossing 73.47
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 73.13
20 Day Moving Average 73.00
50 Day Moving Average 72.85
Parabolic System 72.81
Lower Bollinger Band 72.60
Quarterly Trendline Support 71.79
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Low 71.41
Low Date 04/11/2025
High 73.67
High Date 06/30/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 74.34
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 71.41
Low Date 04/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 71.10
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 74.34
High Date 04/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 73.56
Support 71.79
High 75.67
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 71.10
Low Date 01/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 67.99
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 75.67
High Date 09/16/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.