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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 10/2/2026 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV gave back -0.29 points, or -0.38%, and closed at 76.21 on Friday, October 2, 2026. Weekly volume was 38% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 27, 2026 at 79.32 and reached 76.02 on October 1, 2026. BSV lost 3.30 points, or 4.16%, in 30 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (76.94) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 4, 2026 at 78.00 and reached 76.02 on October 1, 2026. BSV lost 1.98 points, or 2.54%, in 8 weeks. The price is now at the 9.60% retracement level.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 28, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 20, 2026 at 78.00 and reached 76.02 on October 1, 2026. BSV lost 1.98 points, or 2.54%, in 42 days. The price is now at the 9.60% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.
The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 27, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.
During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price touches the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
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