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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 6/12/2026 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV climbed 0.24 points, or 0.31%, and closed at 77.84 on Friday, June 12, 2026. BSV was trading at average weekly trading volume.
 Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 27, 2026 at 79.32 and reached 77.57 on June 5, 2026. BSV lost 1.75 points, or 2.21%, in 14 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 77.48 and resistance is at 78.00. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 27, 2026 at 78.64 and reached 77.57 on June 5, 2026. BSV lost 1.07 points, or 1.36%, in 5 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 27, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 5, 2026 at 77.57 and reached 77.87 on June 11, 2026. BSV gained -0.30 points, or -0.39%, in 6 days. The price is now at the 10.00% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.
During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.
A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (78.02) comes close to the price (77.84). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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