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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 11/14/2025 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV gave back -0.06 points, or -0.08%, and closed at 78.76 on Friday, November 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 29% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 76.93 and reached 79.21 on October 21, 2025. BSV gained -2.28 points, or -2.96%, in 40 weeks. The price is now at the 19.74% retracement level.
 Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 11, 2025 at 77.59 and reached 79.21 on October 21, 2025. BSV gained -1.62 points, or -2.09%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (78.80) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 21, 2025 at 79.21 and reached 78.63 on November 5, 2025. BSV lost 0.58 points, or 0.73%, in 15 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.
Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.
The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 28, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.
A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (78.96) comes close to the price (78.76). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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