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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 9/5/2025 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV climbed 0.01 points, or 0.01%, and closed at 78.98 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was -25% below average.
 Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 76.93 and reached 79.07 on September 5, 2025. BSV gained -2.14 points, or -2.78%, in 33 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (78.61) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 11, 2025 at 77.59 and reached 79.07 on September 5, 2025. BSV gained -1.48 points, or -1.91%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (78.40) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 25, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 15, 2025 at 78.10 and reached 79.07 on September 5, 2025. BSV gained -0.97 points, or -1.24%, in 52 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 78.70 and resistance is at 79.01. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a short-term trend.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.
The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 4, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.
A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (78.52) comes close to the price (78.98). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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