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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 1/9/2026 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV gave back -0.01 points, or -0.01%, and closed at 78.79 on Friday, January 9, 2026. Weekly volume was 45% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 76.93 and reached 79.21 on October 21, 2025. BSV gained -2.28 points, or -2.96%, in 40 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (79.58) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 21, 2025 at 79.21 and reached 78.58 on December 23, 2025. BSV lost 0.63 points, or 0.80%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 78.57 and resistance is at 79.15. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 23, 2025 at 78.58 and reached 78.91 on January 7, 2026. BSV gained -0.33 points, or -0.42%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (78.95) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.
Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.
The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 29, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.
During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (0.36%) is close to one year low (0.41%). It is 54.69% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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