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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 1/30/2026 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV climbed 0.14 points, or 0.18%, and closed at 78.93 on Friday, January 30, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 12% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 76.93 and reached 79.21 on October 21, 2025. BSV gained -2.28 points, or -2.96%, in 40 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (79.73) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 21, 2025 at 79.21 and reached 78.58 on January 20, 2026. BSV lost 0.63 points, or 0.80%, in 13 weeks. The price is now at the 55.56% retracement level.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2026 at 78.58 and reached 78.97 on January 30, 2026. BSV gained -0.39 points, or -0.50%, in 10 days. The price is now at the 10.26% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.
A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (78.98) comes close to the price (78.93). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 0.3% on Friday. It is 61.01% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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