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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/3/2025 -
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CMS Energy (CMS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :A Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the CMS Energy (CMS). During the week, the CMS gave back -0.45 points, or -0.67%, and closed at 66.61 on Friday, January 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -40% below average.

Long-term trend: [See CMS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 3, 2023 at 49.87 and reached 72.40 on October 24, 2024. CMS gained -22.53 points, or -45.18%, in 55 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See CMS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 24, 2024 at 72.40 and reached 65.09 on November 7, 2024. CMS lost 7.31 points, or 10.10%, in 2 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 65.59 and resistance is at 70.12. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CMS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 1, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CMS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 27, 2024 at 71.26 and reached 65.47 on December 19, 2024. CMS lost 5.79 points, or 8.13%, in 22 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 63.74 and resistance is at 67.30. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CMS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 24, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (66.13) comes close to the price (66.61). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (2.88%) is close to one year low (3.63%). It is 57.19% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.31
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 61.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.33
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.14
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.53
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.61
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 81.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 30.42
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 31.32
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.79
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 70.12
50 Day Moving Average 68.17
Upper Bollinger Band 68.02
Weekly Trendline Resistance 67.30
20 Day Moving Average 66.85
Daily Stochastic Crossing 66.81
Price 66.61
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 66.61
Parabolic System 66.13
Lower Bollinger Band 66.12
Monthly Trendline Support 65.59
Weekly Trendline Support 63.74
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 6
Industry Multi-Utilities 76
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 65.47
Low Date 12/19/2024
High 67.48
High Date 12/27/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 67.30
Support 63.74
High 71.26
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 65.47
Low Date 12/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 70.12
Support 65.59
High 72.40
High Date 10/24/2024
Low 65.09
Low Date 11/07/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 49.87
Low Date 10/03/2023
High 72.40
High Date 10/24/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 73.76
High Date 04/21/2022
Low 49.87
Low Date 10/03/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.