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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 5/2/2025 -
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CVS Caremark Corp. (CVS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Price has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement levelThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the CVS Caremark Corp. (CVS). During the week, the CVS gained 2.14 points, or 3.28%, and closed at 67.46 on Friday, May 2, 2025. Weekly volume was 13% above average.

Long-term trend: [See CVS long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 8, 2022 at 111.25 and reached 43.56 on December 23, 2024. CVS lost 67.69 points, or 60.84%, in 149 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (37.13) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See CVS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on December 23, 2024 at 43.56 and reached 72.51 on May 1, 2025. CVS gained -28.95 points, or -66.46%, in 18 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 66.23 and resistance is at 74.95. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See CVS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 24, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See CVS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 28, 2025 at 64.20 and reached 72.51 on May 1, 2025. CVS gained -8.31 points, or -12.94%, in 3 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See CVS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 15, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.86
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 41.40
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.47
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 70.19
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 73.33
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.67 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 74.95
Upper Bollinger Band 70.76
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 68.21
Daily Stochastic Crossing 68.17
Price 67.46
20 Day Moving Average 66.94
50 Day Moving Average 66.42
Quarterly Trendline Support 66.23
Parabolic System 65.55
Lower Bollinger Band 62.82
Yearly Trendline Resistance 55.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 6
Industry Health Care Services 111
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 64.20
Low Date 04/28/2025
High 72.51
High Date 05/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 64.20
Low Date 04/28/2025
High 72.51
High Date 05/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 64.00
Low Date 04/17/2025
High 72.51
High Date 05/01/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 74.95
Support 66.23
Low 43.56
Low Date 12/23/2024
High 72.51
High Date 05/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 55.84
Support 37.13
High 111.25
High Date 02/08/2022
Low 43.56
Low Date 12/23/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.