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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 12/13/2024 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorOversold industryBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldMACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -8.61 points, or -5.43%, and closed at 149.90 on Friday, December 13, 2024. Weekly volume was 33% above average.

DHI is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. DHI is a member of Homebuilding Industry. Homebuilding is the eighth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2008 at 3.79 and reached 199.85 on September 19, 2024. DHI gained -196.06 points, or -5173.09%, in 825 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (35.86) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 17, 2022 at 59.26 and reached 199.85 on September 19, 2024. DHI gained -140.59 points, or -237.24%, in 117 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 135.01 and resistance is at 213.19. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2024 at 175.90 and reached 147.80 on December 13, 2024. DHI lost 28.10 points, or 15.97%, in 18 days. The price is now at the 7.47% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.78
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.36
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.70 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.65
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.56
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.73
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 173.34
50 Day Moving Average 171.38
Parabolic System 163.51
20 Day Moving Average 162.17
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 158.30
Lower Bollinger Band 150.23
Price 149.90
Daily Stochastic Crossing 149.33
Quarterly Trendline Support 135.01
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Homebuilding 8
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 175.90
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 147.80
Low Date 12/13/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 175.90
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 147.80
Low Date 12/13/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 147.80
Low Date 12/13/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 213.19
Support 135.01
Low 59.26
Low Date 06/17/2022
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 85.57
Support 35.86
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.