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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/16/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gained 4.51 points, or 3.34%, and closed at 139.39 on Friday, October 16, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since August 7, 2026. DHI was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (170.78) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 17, 2026 at 169.17 and reached 130.40 on October 14, 2026. DHI lost 38.77 points, or 22.92%, in 34 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 24, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2026 at 170.79 and reached 130.40 on October 14, 2026. DHI lost 40.39 points, or 23.65%, in 111 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.94
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 52.29
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.92
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.94
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.59
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 31.71
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.91
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 145.90
Upper Bollinger Band 143.47
50 Day Moving Average 141.76
Price 139.39
Daily Stochastic Crossing 137.80
20 Day Moving Average 137.46
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 135.15
Lower Bollinger Band 131.61
Parabolic System 130.77
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Homebuilding 25
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 169.17
High Date 02/17/2026
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 145.90
Support 170.78
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.