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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/7/2025 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversoldMACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -4.31 points, or -2.89%, and closed at 144.77 on Friday, November 7, 2025. Weekly volume was -22% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 125.79 and resistance is at 210.51. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 142.30 on November 7, 2025. DHI lost 42.25 points, or 22.89%, in 8 weeks. The price is now at the 5.85% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 24, 2025 at 161.58 and reached 142.30 on November 7, 2025. DHI lost 19.28 points, or 11.93%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 12.81% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 28, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 31.49
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.16
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.91
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.09 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 62.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.93
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.09
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.59
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 162.90
Upper Bollinger Band 162.41
Parabolic System 154.18
20 Day Moving Average 152.17
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 146.82
Price 144.77
Daily Stochastic Crossing 143.50
Lower Bollinger Band 142.16
Monthly Trendline Support 125.79
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Homebuilding 31
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 161.58
High Date 10/24/2025
Low 142.30
Low Date 11/07/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 142.30
Low Date 11/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 210.51
Support 125.79
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.