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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/21/2025 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gained 4.28 points, or 3.00%, and closed at 146.71 on Friday, November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was -8% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 126.84 and resistance is at 216.41. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 134.74 on November 18, 2025. DHI lost 49.81 points, or 26.99%, in 10 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 24, 2025 at 161.58 and reached 134.74 on November 18, 2025. DHI lost 26.84 points, or 16.61%, in 25 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 84.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 31.70
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 33.38
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.66
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.55
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 82.70
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.93
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 23.51
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.27
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 156.16
50 Day Moving Average 155.98
Price 146.71
20 Day Moving Average 145.32
Daily Stochastic Crossing 140.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 138.07
Lower Bollinger Band 135.36
Parabolic System 134.61
Monthly Trendline Support 126.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Homebuilding 23
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
High 161.58
High Date 10/24/2025
Low 134.74
Low Date 11/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 134.74
Low Date 11/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 216.41
Support 126.84
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.