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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 8/14/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -2.27 points, or -1.50%, and closed at 148.81 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Weekly volume was -33% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 131.75 on March 20, 2026. DHI lost 52.80 points, or 28.61%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 128.11 and resistance is at 151.99. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 20, 2026 at 131.75 and reached 170.79 on June 25, 2026. DHI gained -39.04 points, or -29.63%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 138.28 and resistance is at 172.81. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 24, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2026 at 170.79 and reached 138.83 on July 23, 2026. DHI lost 31.96 points, or 18.71%, in 28 days. The price is now at the 31.23% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 3, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (7.9%) is close to one year low (8.86%). It is 50.24% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 26.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.72
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 60.79
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.92
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.74
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 56.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.21
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.27
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.04
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 172.81
Upper Bollinger Band 154.57
Monthly Trendline Resistance 151.99
Parabolic System 151.87
50 Day Moving Average 151.54
Daily Stochastic Crossing 149.35
Price 148.81
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 148.02
20 Day Moving Average 147.09
Lower Bollinger Band 142.82
Weekly Trendline Support 138.28
Monthly Trendline Support 128.11
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Homebuilding 30
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Low 138.83
Low Date 07/23/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 172.81
Support 138.28
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 151.99
Support 128.11
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.