The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 8/7/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorTrend resistance at 152.69
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close togetherPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a first positive week after 5 consecutive negative weeks for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gained 8.02 points, or 5.61%, and closed at 151.08 on Friday, August 7, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since June 26, 2026. Weekly volume was -28% below average.

DHI is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 131.75 on March 20, 2026. DHI lost 52.80 points, or 28.61%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (152.69). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 20, 2026 at 131.75 and reached 170.79 on June 25, 2026. DHI gained -39.04 points, or -29.63%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 137.95 and resistance is at 172.47. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 24, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2026 at 170.79 and reached 138.83 on July 23, 2026. DHI lost 31.96 points, or 18.71%, in 28 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (8.98%) is close to one year low (8.86%). It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.12
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 58.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 68.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 56.09
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.42
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 62.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 36.30
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 42.14
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 172.47
Upper Bollinger Band 155.61
Monthly Trendline Resistance 152.69
50 Day Moving Average 151.37
Price 151.08
Daily Stochastic Crossing 149.92
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 149.31
20 Day Moving Average 147.70
Parabolic System 145.34
Lower Bollinger Band 142.07
Weekly Trendline Support 137.95
Monthly Trendline Support 128.29
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 9
Industry Homebuilding 32
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Low 138.83
Low Date 07/23/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 172.47
Support 137.95
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 152.69
Support 128.29
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.