The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 3/13/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Weekly  MACD line has moved below its signal lineBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -6.77 points, or -4.60%, and closed at 140.49 on Friday, March 13, 2026. Weekly volume was -23% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 19, 2024 at 199.85 and reached 110.40 on April 9, 2025. DHI lost 89.45 points, or 44.76%, in 28 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (147.07) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (145.21) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. DHI may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 8, 2026 at 137.70 and reached 169.17 on February 17, 2026. DHI gained -31.47 points, or -22.85%, in 40 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 24, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (26.08%) is close to one year high (22.93%). It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14.60
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.49
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 10.97
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.99
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 38.54
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 82.20
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 61.12
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.13
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.75
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 169.64
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 155.81
20 Day Moving Average 155.31
50 Day Moving Average 154.25
Parabolic System 150.35
Quarterly Trendline Support 147.07
Monthly Trendline Resistance 145.90
Monthly Trendline Support 145.21
Price 140.49
Daily Stochastic Crossing 139.92
Lower Bollinger Band 132.99
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Homebuilding 33
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 137.70
Low Date 01/08/2026
High 169.17
High Date 02/17/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 134.74
Low Date 11/18/2025
High 169.17
High Date 02/17/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 145.90
Support 145.21
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 176.35
Support 147.07
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.