The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 5/15/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorOversold industryWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -12.24 points, or -8.29%, and closed at 135.39 on Friday, May 15, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since March 6, 2026. Weekly volume was -30% below average.

DHI is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most oversold sector. DHI is a member of Homebuilding Industry. Homebuilding is the tenth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (154.02) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. DHI may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 131.75 on March 20, 2026. DHI lost 52.80 points, or 28.61%, in 27 weeks. The price is now at the 6.89% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 1, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 20, 2026 at 131.75 and reached 166.98 on April 21, 2026. DHI gained -35.23 points, or -26.74%, in 32 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 30, 2026.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.14
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 86.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.76
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 14.71
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.30
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.29
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 49.16
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 36.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.87
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 162.04
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 160.58
Quarterly Trendline Support 154.02
20 Day Moving Average 150.43
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 150.19
Parabolic System 146.62
50 Day Moving Average 144.62
Daily Stochastic Crossing 136.15
Price 135.39
Lower Bollinger Band 129.95
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 2
Industry Homebuilding 10
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
High 166.98
High Date 04/21/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 169.17
High Date 02/17/2026
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 160.58
Support 154.02
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.