The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 7/2/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 156.15
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -7.72 points, or -4.64%, and closed at 158.57 on Thursday, July 2, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since May 15, 2026. Weekly volume was -37% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 131.75 on March 20, 2026. DHI lost 52.80 points, or 28.61%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (156.15). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 20, 2026 at 131.75 and reached 170.79 on June 25, 2026. DHI gained -39.04 points, or -29.63%, in 13 weeks. The price is now at the 31.30% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 5, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 19, 2026 at 133.84 and reached 170.79 on June 25, 2026. DHI gained -36.95 points, or -27.61%, in 37 days. The price is now at the 33.07% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.74
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 50.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 48.40
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.09
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.85
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 35.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.21
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 60.09
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.66
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 170.30
Upper Bollinger Band 170.26
Daily Stochastic Crossing 161.32
Price 158.57
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 157.37
Monthly Trendline Resistance 156.15
20 Day Moving Average 155.94
50 Day Moving Average 150.81
Lower Bollinger Band 142.99
Monthly Trendline Support 129.19
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Homebuilding 55
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 133.84
Low Date 05/19/2026
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 156.15
Support 129.19
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.