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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/2/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gave back -0.60 points, or -0.41%, and closed at 145.72 on Friday, January 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -57% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 19, 2024 at 199.85 and reached 110.40 on April 9, 2025. DHI lost 89.45 points, or 44.76%, in 28 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 139.48 and resistance is at 179.40. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 134.74 on November 18, 2025. DHI lost 49.81 points, or 26.99%, in 10 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 18, 2025 at 134.74 and reached 165.97 on December 4, 2025. DHI gained -31.23 points, or -23.18%, in 16 days. The price is now at the 64.84% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 16, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 25.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 20.14
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.06
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.21 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.04
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.70
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 50.56
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 37.99
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.77
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 159.22
20 Day Moving Average 150.71
50 Day Moving Average 149.85
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 149.85
Parabolic System 149.03
Price 145.72
Daily Stochastic Crossing 144.02
Quarterly Trendline Support 139.48
Lower Bollinger Band 138.60
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Homebuilding 23
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 134.74
Low Date 11/18/2025
High 165.97
High Date 12/04/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 134.74
Low Date 11/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 179.40
Support 139.48
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.