The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 6/12/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level
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It was a first positive week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gained 8.49 points, or 5.83%, and closed at 154.09 on Friday, June 12, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since April 24, 2026. Weekly volume was -34% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (157.03) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 17, 2026 at 169.17 and reached 131.75 on March 20, 2026. DHI lost 37.42 points, or 22.12%, in 4 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 134.71 and resistance is at 165.14. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 21, 2026 at 166.98 and reached 133.84 on May 19, 2026. DHI lost 33.14 points, or 19.85%, in 28 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since May 22, 2026.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.77
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 65.88
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.06
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.35
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.92
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 40.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 36.13
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 50.45
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.32
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 165.14
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 157.95
Upper Bollinger Band 157.44
Quarterly Trendline Support 157.03
Price 154.09
Daily Stochastic Crossing 153.27
50 Day Moving Average 147.09
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 146.12
20 Day Moving Average 145.33
Parabolic System 143.97
Lower Bollinger Band 137.28
Weekly Trendline Support 134.71
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Homebuilding 38
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 166.98
High Date 04/21/2026
Low 133.84
Low Date 05/19/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 165.14
Support 134.71
High 169.17
High Date 02/17/2026
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 157.95
Support 157.03
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.