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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement levelThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a second positive week after 5 consecutive negative weeks for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gained 3.49 points, or 2.53%, and closed at 141.51 on Friday, September 25, 2026. DHI was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The price is now at the 58.04% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2026 at 170.79 and reached 133.88 on September 10, 2026. DHI lost 36.91 points, or 21.61%, in 11 weeks. The price is now at the 20.67% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 24, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 19, 2026 at 154.40 and reached 133.88 on September 10, 2026. DHI lost 20.52 points, or 13.29%, in 22 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.96
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 55.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 62.25
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 51.52
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.98
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.59
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 81.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 23.78
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 29.00
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.91
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 147.14
50 Day Moving Average 144.85
Daily Stochastic Crossing 141.70
Price 141.51
20 Day Moving Average 140.77
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 138.42
Parabolic System 136.74
Lower Bollinger Band 136.10
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Homebuilding 42
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 154.40
High Date 08/19/2026
Low 133.88
Low Date 09/10/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Low 133.88
Low Date 09/10/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.