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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/23/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend support at 171.57
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gained 8.09 points, or 5.80%, and closed at 147.48 on Friday, October 23, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since June 26, 2026. DHI was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (171.57) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 17, 2026 at 169.17 and reached 130.40 on October 14, 2026. DHI lost 38.77 points, or 22.92%, in 34 weeks. The price is now at the 44.05% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 24, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2026 at 170.79 and reached 130.40 on October 14, 2026. DHI lost 40.39 points, or 23.65%, in 111 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 14, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.23
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.54
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.39
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.77
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 28.35
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 39.46
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.18
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Support 171.57
Price 147.48
Upper Bollinger Band 147.36
Daily Stochastic Crossing 145.51
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 145.21
50 Day Moving Average 141.07
20 Day Moving Average 137.67
Parabolic System 135.42
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 135.35
Lower Bollinger Band 131.50
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Homebuilding 35
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 169.17
High Date 02/17/2026
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Support
Resistance 145.21
Support 171.57
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.