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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/30/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineLane's Stochastic is oversold
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -1.67 points, or -1.11%, and closed at 148.84 on Friday, January 30, 2026. Weekly volume was -22% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 140.89 and resistance is at 154.59. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 134.74 on November 18, 2025. DHI lost 49.81 points, or 26.99%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 139.01 and resistance is at 154.59. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 8, 2026 at 137.70 and reached 161.93 on January 16, 2026. DHI gained -24.23 points, or -17.60%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 54.02% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.01
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 55.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 15.26
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.24
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.58
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.03
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 71.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 50.52
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.40
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.64
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 163.76
Parabolic System 154.99
Monthly Trendline Resistance 154.59
Weekly Trendline Resistance 154.59
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 153.07
20 Day Moving Average 152.08
50 Day Moving Average 151.35
Price 148.84
Daily Stochastic Crossing 148.48
Monthly Trendline Support 140.89
Lower Bollinger Band 139.65
Weekly Trendline Support 139.01
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Homebuilding 23
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 137.70
Low Date 01/08/2026
High 161.93
High Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 154.59
Support 139.01
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 134.74
Low Date 11/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 154.59
Support 140.89
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.