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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 6/27/2025 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gained 4.49 points, or 3.62%, and closed at 128.69 on Friday, June 27, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since March 7, 2025. Weekly volume was 22% above average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 19, 2024 at 199.85 and reached 110.40 on April 9, 2025. DHI lost 89.45 points, or 44.76%, in 28 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 79.88 and resistance is at 160.08. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 130.67 on June 24, 2025. DHI gained -20.27 points, or -18.36%, in 10 weeks. The price is now at the 9.77% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 2, 2025 at 114.17 and reached 130.67 on June 24, 2025. DHI gained -16.50 points, or -14.45%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 12.00% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 3, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 62.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.00
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.18
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.33
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.79
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.88
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 47.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.80
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -8.43
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 131.96
Price 128.69
Daily Stochastic Crossing 128.19
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 124.51
20 Day Moving Average 123.72
50 Day Moving Average 123.31
Parabolic System 120.08
Lower Bollinger Band 117.37
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Homebuilding 44
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 119.54
Low Date 06/17/2025
High 130.67
High Date 06/24/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 114.17
Low Date 06/02/2025
High 130.67
High Date 06/24/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 130.67
High Date 06/24/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 160.08
Support 79.88
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.