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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 7/17/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageStochastic signal line moved above oversold area
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI dropped -2.19 points, or -1.44%, and closed at 149.39 on Friday, July 17, 2026. Weekly volume was -25% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2025 at 184.55 and reached 131.75 on March 20, 2026. DHI lost 52.80 points, or 28.61%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 128.83 and resistance is at 154.76. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 20, 2026 at 131.75 and reached 170.79 on June 25, 2026. DHI gained -39.04 points, or -29.63%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 136.93 and resistance is at 171.46. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 5, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 19, 2026 at 133.84 and reached 170.79 on June 25, 2026. DHI gained -36.95 points, or -27.61%, in 37 days. The price is now at the 57.92% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 1, 2026.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 74.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 23.23
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 25.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.60
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.65
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 43.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 62.39
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.02
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 171.46
Upper Bollinger Band 165.49
Parabolic System 158.44
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 157.08
20 Day Moving Average 156.44
Monthly Trendline Resistance 154.76
Daily Stochastic Crossing 150.44
50 Day Moving Average 150.21
Price 149.39
Lower Bollinger Band 141.33
Weekly Trendline Support 136.93
Monthly Trendline Support 128.83
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Homebuilding 44
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 133.84
Low Date 05/19/2026
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 171.46
Support 136.93
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 154.76
Support 128.83
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 131.75
Low Date 03/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 3.79
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.