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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/30/2026 -
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D.R. Horton (DHI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend support at 172.36Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtBullish Doji Candlestick
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It was the negative week for the D.R. Horton (DHI). During the week, the DHI gave back -1.48 points, or -1.00%, and closed at 146.00 on Friday, October 30, 2026. Weekly volume was 37% above average.

Long-term trend: [See DHI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 110.40 and reached 184.55 on September 8, 2025. DHI gained -74.15 points, or -67.16%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (172.36) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DHI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 17, 2026 at 169.17 and reached 130.40 on October 14, 2026. DHI lost 38.77 points, or 22.92%, in 34 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DHI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 24, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DHI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 25, 2026 at 170.79 and reached 130.40 on October 14, 2026. DHI lost 40.39 points, or 23.65%, in 111 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DHI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 14, 2026.

Candlestick pattern: [See DHI candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.58
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.79
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.69
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.87
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.23
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 61.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 36.63
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.78
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.29
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Support 172.36
Upper Bollinger Band 152.38
Daily Stochastic Crossing 146.31
Price 146.00
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 144.51
Parabolic System 141.65
50 Day Moving Average 140.81
20 Day Moving Average 139.75
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 138.10
Lower Bollinger Band 131.30
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Homebuilding 39
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
High 170.79
High Date 06/25/2026
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 169.17
High Date 02/17/2026
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Low 130.40
Low Date 10/14/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Support
Resistance 144.51
Support 172.36
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 184.55
High Date 09/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 199.85
High Date 09/19/2024
Low 110.40
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.