The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/23/2026 -
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iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Idx TR ETN (DJP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Idx TR ETN (DJP). During the week, the DJP gained 2.46 points, or 6.28%, and closed at 41.63 on Friday, January 23, 2026. Weekly volume was 116% above average.

Long-term trend: [See DJP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 31, 2023 at 29.15 and reached 41.70 on January 23, 2026. DJP gained -12.55 points, or -43.05%, in 138 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (29.66) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DJP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 31.48 and reached 41.70 on January 23, 2026. DJP gained -10.22 points, or -32.47%, in 41 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DJP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since September 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DJP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 19, 2025 at 33.18 and reached 41.70 on January 23, 2026. DJP gained -8.52 points, or -25.68%, in 157 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DJP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.74
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.11
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 88.03
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.59
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.26
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.22
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.40
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.96
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 41.63
Daily Stochastic Crossing 41.45
Upper Bollinger Band 41.35
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 40.90
Parabolic System 40.29
20 Day Moving Average 39.09
50 Day Moving Average 38.09
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 37.33
Lower Bollinger Band 37.20
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Low 33.18
Low Date 08/19/2025
High 41.70
High Date 01/23/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 31.48
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 41.70
High Date 01/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.35
Low Date 08/05/2024
High 41.70
High Date 01/23/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 37.33
Support 29.66
Low 29.15
Low Date 05/31/2023
High 41.70
High Date 01/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 15.61
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 41.71
High Date 06/08/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.