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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/14/2025 -
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iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Idx TR ETN (DJP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal line
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Idx TR ETN (DJP). During the week, the DJP gained 0.61 points, or 1.78%, and closed at 34.91 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was -39% below average.

Long-term trend: [See DJP long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on June 8, 2022 at 41.71 and reached 29.15 on May 31, 2023. DJP lost 12.56 points, or 30.11%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (30.41) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. DJP may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See DJP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 18, 2024 at 30.73 and reached 35.26 on February 14, 2025. DJP gained -4.53 points, or -14.74%, in 12 weeks. The price is now at the 7.73% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See DJP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 20, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See DJP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 27, 2025 at 33.12 and reached 35.26 on February 14, 2025. DJP gained -2.14 points, or -6.46%, in 18 days. The price is now at the 16.36% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See DJP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.65
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.97
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 91.07
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.49 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.85
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.20
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.60
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.33
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 35.09
Upper Bollinger Band 35.08
Price 34.91
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 34.77
20 Day Moving Average 34.12
Parabolic System 34.00
Lower Bollinger Band 33.12
50 Day Moving Average 32.94
Yearly Trendline Resistance 31.66
Yearly Trendline Support 30.41
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 33.12
Low Date 01/27/2025
High 35.26
High Date 02/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 33.12
Low Date 01/27/2025
High 35.26
High Date 02/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 33.12
Low Date 01/27/2025
High 35.26
High Date 02/14/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.73
Low Date 11/18/2024
High 35.26
High Date 02/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 31.66
Support 30.41
High 41.71
High Date 06/08/2022
Low 29.15
Low Date 05/31/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.