The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 10/3/2025 -
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Estee Lauder (EL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was a first positive week for the Estee Lauder (EL). During the week, the EL gained 1.36 points, or 1.57%, and closed at 88.02 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -20% below average.

EL is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See EL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 3, 2022 at 374.20 and reached 48.37 on April 9, 2025. EL lost 325.83 points, or 87.07%, in 170 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (20.66) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 48.37 and reached 95.47 on August 13, 2025. EL gained -47.10 points, or -97.37%, in 18 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 83.02 and resistance is at 89.40. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 2, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 83.12 and reached 89.90 on September 30, 2025. EL gained -6.78 points, or -8.16%, in 5 days. The price is now at the 27.73% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (6.77%) is close to one year low (6.68%). It is 70.79% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 28.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 71.03
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.89
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.50
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.39
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 20.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.73
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.94
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.67
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 90.74
50 Day Moving Average 89.42
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 89.40
Monthly Trendline Resistance 88.31
Price 88.02
Daily Stochastic Crossing 87.78
20 Day Moving Average 87.33
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.10
Lower Bollinger Band 84.79
Parabolic System 84.07
Quarterly Trendline Support 83.02
Monthly Trendline Support 82.74
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Personal Products 21
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 85.01
Low Date 10/01/2025
High 89.90
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 83.12
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 89.90
High Date 09/30/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 88.31
Support 82.74
High 95.47
High Date 08/13/2025
Low 83.12
Low Date 09/25/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 89.40
Support 83.02
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 95.47
High Date 08/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 60.83
Support 20.66
High 374.20
High Date 01/03/2022
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.