The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/11/2025 -
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Estee Lauder (EL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtOversold sector
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaBearish Harami Cross Candlestick
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Estee Lauder (EL). During the week, the EL gained 2.36 points, or 2.66%, and closed at 91.08 on Friday, July 11, 2025. Weekly volume was -7% below average.

EL is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See EL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 3, 2022 at 374.20 and reached 48.37 on April 9, 2025. EL lost 325.83 points, or 87.07%, in 170 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 48.37 and reached 92.65 on July 10, 2025. EL gained -44.28 points, or -91.54%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (74.59) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 2, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 8, 2025 at 84.58 and reached 92.65 on July 10, 2025. EL gained -8.07 points, or -9.54%, in 2 days. The price is now at the 19.45% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Candlestick pattern: [See EL candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Harami Cross Candlestick pattern. A Bearish Harami Cross pattern occurs in an uptrend. It is a sign of disparity about the market’s health, it warns that the market may not continue in uptrend. The reliability of the Bearish Harami Cross pattern is moderate. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Harami Cross Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.57
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 79.87
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.06
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.95
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 92.45
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.13
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.78
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.96
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 95.09
Price 91.08
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 90.63
Daily Stochastic Crossing 90.44
Parabolic System 87.82
Monthly Trendline Resistance 81.01
20 Day Moving Average 80.68
Monthly Trendline Support 74.59
50 Day Moving Average 71.10
Lower Bollinger Band 67.81
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 1
Industry Personal Products 24
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 84.58
Low Date 07/08/2025
High 92.65
High Date 07/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 84.58
Low Date 07/08/2025
High 92.65
High Date 07/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 81.01
Support 74.59
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 92.65
High Date 07/10/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 283.62
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status
Resistance
Support
High 374.20
High Date 01/03/2022
Low 48.37
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.