The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/14/2025 -
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iShares MSCI Germany Index (EWG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a sixth consecutive positive week for the iShares MSCI Germany Index (EWG). During the week, the EWG gained 1.78 points, or 5.14%, and closed at 36.42 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 25% above average.

Long-term trend: [See EWG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on September 27, 2022 at 19.35 and reached 36.63 on February 14, 2025. EWG gained -17.28 points, or -89.30%, in 124 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (32.50) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EWG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 27, 2023 at 24.70 and reached 36.63 on February 14, 2025. EWG gained -11.93 points, or -48.30%, in 68 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (32.50) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EWG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EWG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 2, 2025 at 31.48 and reached 36.63 on February 14, 2025. EWG gained -5.15 points, or -16.36%, in 43 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 34.52 and resistance is at 36.79. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EWG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 14, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.94
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.84
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.27
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.65 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.93
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.85
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.34
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.48
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 36.79
Daily Stochastic Crossing 36.55
Price 36.42
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 36.27
Upper Bollinger Band 36.23
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 35.52
Yearly Trendline Resistance 35.25
20 Day Moving Average 34.76
Weekly Trendline Support 34.52
Parabolic System 34.48
50 Day Moving Average 33.40
Lower Bollinger Band 33.17
Yearly Trendline Support 32.50
Quarterly Trendline Support 32.50
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 33.60
Low Date 02/03/2025
High 36.63
High Date 02/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 36.79
Support 34.52
Low 31.48
Low Date 01/02/2025
High 36.63
High Date 02/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 31.03
Low Date 11/13/2024
High 36.63
High Date 02/14/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 35.52
Support 32.50
Low 24.70
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 36.63
High Date 02/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 35.25
Support 32.50
Low 19.35
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 36.63
High Date 02/14/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.