The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 5/2/2025 -
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iShares MSCI Japan Index (EWJ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the iShares MSCI Japan Index (EWJ). During the week, the EWJ gained 1.12 points, or 1.58%, and closed at 71.89 on Friday, May 2, 2025. Weekly volume was -20% below average.

Long-term trend: [See EWJ long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 26, 2024 at 73.24 and reached 59.84 on April 7, 2025. EWJ lost 13.40 points, or 18.30%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (58.79) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. EWJ may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EWJ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 59.84 and reached 72.16 on April 29, 2025. EWJ gained -12.32 points, or -20.59%, in 3 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EWJ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EWJ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 30, 2025 at 70.57 and reached 72.02 on May 2, 2025. EWJ gained -1.45 points, or -2.05%, in 2 days. The price is now at the 8.97% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EWJ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 14, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 139.23% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.32
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.14
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 89.37
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.49
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.65
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 56.64
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.40
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.05
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 76.26
Price 71.89
Daily Stochastic Crossing 71.82
Parabolic System 70.16
50 Day Moving Average 68.88
Monthly Trendline Resistance 68.23
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 67.85
20 Day Moving Average 67.80
Lower Bollinger Band 62.55
Monthly Trendline Support 58.79
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 70.57
Low Date 04/30/2025
High 72.02
High Date 05/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 59.84
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 72.16
High Date 04/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 68.23
Support 58.79
High 73.24
High Date 09/26/2024
Low 59.84
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 47.64
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 73.24
High Date 09/26/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 6.84
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 74.12
High Date 09/15/2021
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.