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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 2/6/2026 -
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iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ). During the week, the EWQ gained 1.05 points, or 2.32%, and closed at 46.40 on Friday, February 6, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since November 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 12% above average.

Long-term trend: [See EWQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 19.29 and reached 46.42 on February 6, 2026. EWQ gained -27.13 points, or -140.64%, in 307 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (38.31) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EWQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 42.94 and reached 46.42 on February 6, 2026. EWQ gained -3.48 points, or -8.10%, in 11 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EWQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EWQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 21, 2026 at 44.38 and reached 46.42 on February 6, 2026. EWQ gained -2.04 points, or -4.60%, in 16 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EWQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.34
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 66.09
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 69.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.32
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.00
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.49
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.32
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.80
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 46.46
Price 46.40
Daily Stochastic Crossing 46.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 45.95
20 Day Moving Average 45.64
50 Day Moving Average 45.18
Parabolic System 45.13
Lower Bollinger Band 44.78
Yearly Trendline Resistance 43.11
Yearly Trendline Support 38.31
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 44.38
Low Date 01/21/2026
High 46.42
High Date 02/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 42.94
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 46.42
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 35.22
Low Date 01/03/2025
High 46.42
High Date 02/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 26.26
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 46.42
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 43.11
Support 38.31
Low 19.29
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 46.42
High Date 02/06/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.