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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/7/2025 -
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iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaWeekly  MACD line has moved below its signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ). During the week, the EWQ dropped -0.50 points, or -1.13%, and closed at 43.78 on Friday, November 7, 2025. Weekly volume was 49% above average.

Long-term trend: [See EWQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 19.29 and reached 45.41 on October 27, 2025. EWQ gained -26.12 points, or -135.41%, in 292 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (37.50) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EWQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 35.24 and reached 45.41 on October 27, 2025. EWQ gained -10.17 points, or -28.86%, in 28 weeks. The price is now at the 16.03% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EWQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EWQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 27, 2025 at 45.41 and reached 43.27 on November 7, 2025. EWQ lost 2.14 points, or 4.71%, in 11 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EWQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 29, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 31.32
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 12.28
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.25
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.12
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 45.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.60
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 59.41
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 45.57
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 44.76
Parabolic System 44.54
20 Day Moving Average 44.53
50 Day Moving Average 43.94
Price 43.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 43.54
Lower Bollinger Band 42.95
Yearly Trendline Resistance 42.94
Yearly Trendline Support 37.50
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 45.41
High Date 10/27/2025
Low 43.27
Low Date 11/07/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 35.24
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 45.41
High Date 10/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 35.22
Low Date 01/03/2025
High 45.41
High Date 10/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 26.26
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 45.41
High Date 10/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 42.94
Support 37.50
Low 19.29
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 45.41
High Date 10/27/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.