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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 9/5/2025 -
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iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 42.82
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is oversoldPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ). During the week, the EWQ gave back -0.03 points, or -0.07%, and closed at 42.56 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was -34% below average.

Long-term trend: [See EWQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 19.29 and reached 44.40 on July 23, 2025. EWQ gained -25.11 points, or -130.17%, in 279 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (42.82). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EWQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 35.24 and reached 44.40 on July 23, 2025. EWQ gained -9.16 points, or -25.99%, in 15 weeks. The price is now at the 20.09% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EWQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 22, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EWQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2025 at 44.25 and reached 42.05 on September 2, 2025. EWQ lost 2.20 points, or 4.97%, in 11 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EWQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 25, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.70
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 71.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.82
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.05
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.01
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.29
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 29.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 54.28
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 57.86
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.96
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 44.03
Parabolic System 43.49
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 43.09
20 Day Moving Average 43.06
50 Day Moving Average 42.93
Yearly Trendline Resistance 42.82
Price 42.56
Daily Stochastic Crossing 42.24
Lower Bollinger Band 41.68
Yearly Trendline Support 36.91
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 44.25
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 42.05
Low Date 09/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 35.24
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 44.40
High Date 07/23/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 35.22
Low Date 01/03/2025
High 44.40
High Date 07/23/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 26.26
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 44.40
High Date 07/23/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 42.82
Support 36.91
Low 19.29
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 44.40
High Date 07/23/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.