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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 6/20/2025 -
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iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergence
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price touches the lower Bollinger Band
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It was the negative week for the iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ). During the week, the EWQ dropped -1.54 points, or -3.60%, and closed at 41.29 on Friday, June 20, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since April 4, 2025. Weekly volume was -52% below average.

Long-term trend: [See EWQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 19.29 and reached 43.64 on June 12, 2025. EWQ gained -24.35 points, or -126.23%, in 273 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 36.21 and resistance is at 43.45. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See EWQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 3, 2025 at 35.22 and reached 43.64 on June 12, 2025. EWQ gained -8.42 points, or -23.91%, in 22 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 35.26 and resistance is at 43.77. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See EWQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Lane's Stochastic. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See EWQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 12, 2025 at 43.64 and reached 41.29 on June 20, 2025. EWQ lost 2.35 points, or 5.38%, in 8 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See EWQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 27, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The price touches the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.85
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.70
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.58
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 20.92
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.32
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.19
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.56
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.83 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 45.77
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 43.77
Upper Bollinger Band 43.51
Yearly Trendline Resistance 43.45
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 43.24
Monthly Trendline Support 43.13
Parabolic System 42.86
20 Day Moving Average 42.68
50 Day Moving Average 41.56
Daily Stochastic Crossing 41.35
Price 41.29
Lower Bollinger Band 41.25
Yearly Trendline Support 36.21
Quarterly Trendline Support 35.26
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 43.64
High Date 06/12/2025
Low 41.29
Low Date 06/20/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 43.64
High Date 06/12/2025
Low 41.29
Low Date 06/20/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 45.77
Support 43.13
Low 35.24
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 43.64
High Date 06/12/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 43.77
Support 35.26
Low 35.22
Low Date 01/03/2025
High 43.64
High Date 06/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 43.45
Support 36.21
Low 19.29
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 43.64
High Date 06/12/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.