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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 1/17/2025 -
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CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Tr (FXB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic bullish divergenceBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Tr (FXB). During the week, the FXB gave back -0.30 points, or -0.26%, and closed at 117.10 on Friday, January 17, 2025. Weekly volume was -51% below average.

Long-term trend: [See FXB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 3, 2023 at 115.94 and reached 129.21 on September 26, 2024. FXB gained -13.27 points, or -11.45%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (121.67) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. FXB may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 26, 2024 at 129.21 and reached 116.70 on January 13, 2025. FXB lost 12.51 points, or 9.68%, in 15 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXB short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 9, 2024 at 123.01 and reached 116.70 on January 13, 2025. FXB lost 6.31 points, or 5.13%, in 35 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 116.62 and resistance is at 117.87. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 18, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 16.98
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.10
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.01
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 16.39
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 12.45
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.99
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.29
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 132.18
Upper Bollinger Band 122.13
Quarterly Trendline Support 121.67
50 Day Moving Average 121.12
20 Day Moving Average 119.39
Parabolic System 118.36
Weekly Trendline Resistance 117.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 117.41
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 117.24
Price 117.10
Weekly Trendline Support 116.62
Lower Bollinger Band 116.29
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 118.30
High Date 01/15/2025
Low 117.00
Low Date 01/17/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 117.87
Support 116.62
High 123.01
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 116.70
Low Date 01/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 129.21
High Date 09/26/2024
Low 116.70
Low Date 01/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 132.18
Support 121.67
Low 115.94
Low Date 10/03/2023
High 129.21
High Date 09/26/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 102.20
Low Date 09/28/2022
High 129.21
High Date 09/26/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.