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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/22/2024 -
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CurrencyShares Swiss Franc Trust (FXF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergenceThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares Swiss Franc Trust (FXF). During the week, the FXF gave back -0.67 points, or -0.67%, and closed at 99.33 on Friday, November 22, 2024. Weekly volume was -65% below average.

Long-term trend: [See FXF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 1, 2024 at 96.67 and reached 105.89 on September 18, 2024. FXF gained -9.22 points, or -9.54%, in 20 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (102.20) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. FXF may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 18, 2024 at 105.89 and reached 99.25 on November 22, 2024. FXF lost 6.64 points, or 6.27%, in 9 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 19, 2024 at 100.80 and reached 99.25 on November 22, 2024. FXF lost 1.55 points, or 1.54%, in 3 days. The price is now at the 5.16% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since November 5, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 100.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 31.87
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.26
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.77 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.42
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.15
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.81
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 109.54
Upper Bollinger Band 103.47
50 Day Moving Average 102.90
Quarterly Trendline Support 102.20
20 Day Moving Average 101.31
Parabolic System 100.90
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 99.77
Daily Stochastic Crossing 99.71
Price 99.33
Lower Bollinger Band 98.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 100.80
High Date 11/19/2024
Low 99.25
Low Date 11/22/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 100.80
High Date 11/19/2024
Low 99.25
Low Date 11/22/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 105.89
High Date 09/18/2024
Low 99.25
Low Date 11/22/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 109.54
Support 102.20
Low 96.67
Low Date 05/01/2024
High 105.89
High Date 09/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 88.08
Low Date 11/03/2022
High 106.75
High Date 12/28/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.