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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overbought
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY). During the week, the FXY gave back -0.63 points, or -0.97%, and closed at 64.17 on Friday, April 25, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since December 20, 2024. Weekly volume was 314% above average.

Long-term trend: [See FXY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on August 18, 2016 at 96.75 and reached 57.17 on July 10, 2024. FXY lost 39.58 points, or 40.91%, in 411 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 54.63 and resistance is at 88.15. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See FXY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 8, 2025 at 58.25 and reached 65.64 on April 21, 2025. FXY gained -7.39 points, or -12.69%, in 14 weeks. The price is now at the 19.89% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See FXY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See FXY short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 27, 2025 at 60.98 and reached 65.64 on April 21, 2025. FXY gained -4.66 points, or -7.64%, in 25 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See FXY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 2, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.60
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 32.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.14
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 59.65
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.75
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.52
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.56
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 66.32
Parabolic System 65.61
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 64.73
Daily Stochastic Crossing 64.70
Price 64.17
20 Day Moving Average 63.51
50 Day Moving Average 62.43
Lower Bollinger Band 61.08
Yearly Trendline Support 54.63
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 60.98
Low Date 03/27/2025
High 65.64
High Date 04/21/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 58.25
Low Date 01/08/2025
High 65.64
High Date 04/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 65.88
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 58.25
Low Date 01/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 57.17
Low Date 07/10/2024
High 65.88
High Date 09/16/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 88.15
Support 54.63
High 96.75
High Date 08/18/2016
Low 57.17
Low Date 07/10/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.