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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/14/2025 -
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WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund (GCC) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price touches the upper Bollinger BandThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund (GCC). During the week, the GCC gained 0.23 points, or 1.17%, and closed at 19.88 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was -43% below average.

Long-term trend: [See GCC long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 8, 2022 at 28.60 and reached 16.31 on January 2, 2024. GCC lost 12.29 points, or 42.97%, in 95 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (15.68) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. GCC may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See GCC medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on July 24, 2024 at 17.22 and reached 20.04 on February 14, 2025. GCC gained -2.82 points, or -16.38%, in 29 weeks. The price is now at the 5.67% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GCC weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GCC short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 27, 2024 at 18.55 and reached 20.04 on February 14, 2025. GCC gained -1.49 points, or -8.03%, in 49 days. The price is now at the 10.74% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GCC daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (2.82%) is close to one year low (2.56%). It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.20
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.59
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.07
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.16
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.79
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.17
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.25
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.16
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 19.99
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 19.93
Upper Bollinger Band 19.91
Price 19.88
20 Day Moving Average 19.66
Parabolic System 19.61
Lower Bollinger Band 19.35
50 Day Moving Average 19.31
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 18.55
Low Date 12/27/2024
High 20.04
High Date 02/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 18.42
Low Date 11/15/2024
High 20.04
High Date 02/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 17.22
Low Date 07/24/2024
High 20.04
High Date 02/14/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 16.31
Low Date 01/02/2024
High 20.04
High Date 02/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 9.07
Support 15.68
High 28.60
High Date 03/08/2022
Low 16.31
Low Date 01/02/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.