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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/20/2025 -
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streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD). During the week, the GLD dropped -6.16 points, or -1.95%, and closed at 310.13 on Friday, June 20, 2025. Weekly volume was 21% above average.

Long-term trend: [See GLD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2015 at 100.23 and reached 317.63 on April 22, 2025. GLD gained -217.40 points, or -216.90%, in 487 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (169.70) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See GLD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 5, 2023 at 168.30 and reached 317.63 on April 22, 2025. GLD gained -149.33 points, or -88.73%, in 80 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (281.16) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GLD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GLD short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 16, 2025 at 291.78 and reached 317.60 on June 13, 2025. GLD gained -25.82 points, or -8.85%, in 28 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GLD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.04
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 51.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 55.98
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.55
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.63
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.06
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 15.40
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 317.92
Upper Bollinger Band 315.21
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 311.76
Daily Stochastic Crossing 311.44
Price 310.13
20 Day Moving Average 308.53
50 Day Moving Average 304.93
Lower Bollinger Band 301.41
Monthly Trendline Resistance 298.53
Monthly Trendline Support 281.16
Yearly Trendline Resistance 269.68
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Low 291.78
Low Date 05/16/2025
High 317.60
High Date 06/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 236.10
Low Date 11/14/2024
High 317.63
High Date 04/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 298.53
Support 281.16
Low 168.30
Low Date 10/05/2023
High 317.63
High Date 04/22/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 150.57
Low Date 11/03/2022
High 317.63
High Date 04/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 269.68
Support 169.70
Low 100.23
Low Date 12/17/2015
High 317.63
High Date 04/22/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.