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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/14/2025 -
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streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 264.39
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD). During the week, the GLD climbed 2.40 points, or 0.91%, and closed at 266.30 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 41% above average.

Long-term trend: [See GLD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2015 at 100.23 and reached 270.40 on February 13, 2025. GLD gained -170.17 points, or -169.78%, in 478 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (264.39). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See GLD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 5, 2023 at 168.30 and reached 270.40 on February 13, 2025. GLD gained -102.10 points, or -60.67%, in 71 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 257.64 and resistance is at 275.01. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GLD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GLD short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 19, 2024 at 238.70 and reached 270.40 on February 13, 2025. GLD gained -31.70 points, or -13.28%, in 56 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GLD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 31, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.33
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.61
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.80
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.74
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.91
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.39
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 275.01
Upper Bollinger Band 272.53
Parabolic System 270.67
Daily Stochastic Crossing 268.92
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 268.21
Price 266.30
Yearly Trendline Resistance 264.39
20 Day Moving Average 259.98
Monthly Trendline Support 257.64
50 Day Moving Average 250.59
Lower Bollinger Band 248.23
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Low 238.70
Low Date 12/19/2024
High 270.40
High Date 02/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 236.10
Low Date 11/14/2024
High 270.40
High Date 02/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 275.01
Support 257.64
Low 168.30
Low Date 10/05/2023
High 270.40
High Date 02/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 150.57
Low Date 11/03/2022
High 270.40
High Date 02/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 264.39
Support 167.19
Low 100.23
Low Date 12/17/2015
High 270.40
High Date 02/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.