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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 8/29/2025 -
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streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD). During the week, the GLD gained 7.49 points, or 2.41%, and closed at 318.07 on Friday, August 29, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since June 13, 2025. GLD was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See GLD long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2015 at 100.23 and reached 318.09 on August 29, 2025. GLD gained -217.86 points, or -217.36%, in 506 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (171.13) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See GLD medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 5, 2023 at 168.30 and reached 318.09 on August 29, 2025. GLD gained -149.79 points, or -89.00%, in 99 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (294.56) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See GLD weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since June 20, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See GLD short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 16, 2025 at 291.78 and reached 318.09 on August 29, 2025. GLD gained -26.31 points, or -9.02%, in 105 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See GLD daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 26.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.88
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.15
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.63
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 54.07
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.42
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 12.47
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 318.07
Daily Stochastic Crossing 317.94
Upper Bollinger Band 316.56
Monthly Trendline Resistance 311.93
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 311.32
20 Day Moving Average 310.28
50 Day Moving Average 308.64
Parabolic System 308.49
Lower Bollinger Band 304.43
Monthly Trendline Support 294.56
Yearly Trendline Resistance 272.70
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 291.78
Low Date 05/16/2025
High 318.09
High Date 08/29/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 236.10
Low Date 11/14/2024
High 318.09
High Date 08/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 311.93
Support 294.56
Low 168.30
Low Date 10/05/2023
High 318.09
High Date 08/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 150.57
Low Date 11/03/2022
High 318.09
High Date 08/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 272.70
Support 171.13
Low 100.23
Low Date 12/17/2015
High 318.09
High Date 08/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.