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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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HCA Holdings (HCA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the HCA Holdings (HCA). During the week, the HCA dropped -7.09 points, or -2.12%, and closed at 327.92 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was 42% above average.

Long-term trend: [See HCA long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on July 14, 2022 at 164.47 and reached 417.08 on October 18, 2024. HCA gained -252.61 points, or -153.59%, in 118 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 276.08 and resistance is at 460.87. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HCA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 3, 2025 at 290.00 and reached 353.40 on April 3, 2025. HCA gained -63.40 points, or -21.86%, in 12 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 300.27 and resistance is at 358.11. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HCA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since March 14, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HCA short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 3, 2025 at 353.40 and reached 314.43 on April 21, 2025. HCA lost 38.97 points, or 11.03%, in 18 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HCA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 4, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.94
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 50.68
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.51
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.01
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 73.33
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.80
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.75
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 358.11
Upper Bollinger Band 348.62
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 337.00
Daily Stochastic Crossing 336.22
20 Day Moving Average 335.99
50 Day Moving Average 328.71
Price 327.92
Lower Bollinger Band 317.45
Parabolic System 315.56
Weekly Trendline Support 300.27
Quarterly Trendline Support 276.08
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Health Care 5
Industry Health Care Facilities 92
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
High 353.40
High Date 04/03/2025
Low 314.43
Low Date 04/21/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 358.11
Support 300.27
Low 290.00
Low Date 01/03/2025
High 353.40
High Date 04/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 417.08
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 290.00
Low Date 01/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 460.87
Support 276.08
Low 164.47
Low Date 07/14/2022
High 417.08
High Date 10/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 17.03
Low Date 08/09/2011
High 417.08
High Date 10/18/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.