The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

Archive
- 5/15/2026 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineOversold sectorBroken trend resistance lineTrend support at 25.11
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal linePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG gave back -0.23 points, or -0.90%, and closed at 25.19 on Friday, May 15, 2026. HOG was trading at average weekly trading volume.

HOG is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 31.25 and reached 17.09 on March 19, 2026. HOG lost 14.16 points, or 45.31%, in 26 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (12.96) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 19, 2026 at 17.09 and reached 26.99 on May 11, 2026. HOG gained -9.90 points, or -57.93%, in 7 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (25.11) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 2, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 27, 2026 at 22.50 and reached 26.99 on May 11, 2026. HOG gained -4.49 points, or -19.96%, in 14 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 62.31
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 33.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 61.56
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.00
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.60
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.78
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.83
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 26.42
Upper Bollinger Band 26.02
Daily Stochastic Crossing 25.66
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 25.66
Price 25.19
Monthly Trendline Support 25.11
Parabolic System 24.69
20 Day Moving Average 24.23
Lower Bollinger Band 22.23
50 Day Moving Average 21.63
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 2
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 119
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 26.16
High Date 05/14/2026
Low 24.97
Low Date 05/15/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 22.50
Low Date 04/27/2026
High 26.99
High Date 05/11/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Test Support
Resistance 26.42
Support 25.11
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
High 26.99
High Date 05/11/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 15.98
Support 12.96
High 31.25
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 17.09
Low Date 03/19/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.