The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Weekly Pattern:Rising Wedge
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Rising Wedge Pattern (Ascending Wedge)

Rising Wedge Chart PatternA Rising Wedge pattern also known as Ascending Wedge pattern is one of the most reliable, low-risk, and high-reward chart pattern. A Rising Wedge (Ascending Wedge) pattern is a triangle formation with noticeable slant to the upside. The line that connects the bottoms of the formation represents a support trend line. The resistance trend line connects the formation's tops. The Rising Wedge pattern is valid when the price touched both the support and resistance lines alternatively at least tree times. Unlike the Rising Channel formation, where support and resistance lines are parallel, in a Rising Wedge formation the support line is noticeably steeper than the resistance line. A Rising Wedge represents the loss of the upside momentum and has a bearish bias.

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- 4/26/2024 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergenceThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG dropped -3.29 points, or -8.65%, and closed at 34.75 on Friday, April 26, 2024. Weekly volume was 157% above average.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on May 18, 2021 at 52.06 and reached 25.43 on October 26, 2023. HOG lost 26.63 points, or 51.15%, in 127 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 23.83 and resistance is at 51.56. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 2, 2023 at 51.77 and reached 25.43 on October 26, 2023. HOG lost 26.34 points, or 50.88%, in 38 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (18.85) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 1, 2023. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 44.16 and reached 32.21 on April 25, 2024. HOG lost 11.95 points, or 27.06%, in 28 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend support line (36.29) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 2, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (31.54%) is close to one year high (23.38%). It is 112.64% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.43
Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 87.70
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.34
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.70
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.48 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 65.71
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.21
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.54
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 44.50
Parabolic System 40.02
Weekly Trendline Resistance 39.99
20 Day Moving Average 39.97
50 Day Moving Average 39.69
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 39.22
Monthly Trendline Support 38.96
Weekly Trendline Support 36.29
Daily Stochastic Crossing 35.47
Price 34.75
Lower Bollinger Band 33.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 52
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 40.14
High Date 04/23/2024
Low 32.21
Low Date 04/25/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 39.99
Support 36.29
High 44.16
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 32.21
Low Date 04/25/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 46.33
Support 38.96
Low 25.43
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 44.16
High Date 03/28/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 22.21
Support 18.85
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 25.43
Low Date 10/26/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 51.56
Support 23.83
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 25.43
Low Date 10/26/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.