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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/4/2025 -
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Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorOversold industryRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range oversoldRelative Strength Index is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergenceThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). During the week, the HPQ dropped -5.29 points, or -18.96%, and closed at 22.61 on Friday, April 4, 2025. Weekly volume was 89% above average.

HPQ is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the most oversold sector. HPQ is a member of Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Industry. Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals is the fourth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HPQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 24.08 and reached 39.79 on November 25, 2024. HPQ gained -15.71 points, or -65.24%, in 110 weeks. The price is now at the 109.36% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See HPQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2024 at 39.79 and reached 21.96 on April 4, 2025. HPQ lost 17.83 points, or 44.81%, in 18 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HPQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 9, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HPQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 24, 2025 at 29.18 and reached 21.96 on April 4, 2025. HPQ lost 7.22 points, or 24.74%, in 11 days. The price is now at the 9.00% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HPQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Relative Strength Index is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Relative Strength Index. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 129.83% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 9.51
Strong Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 84.10
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 20.01
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.15
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.15 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 18.03
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 92.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 9.64
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.70
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.82
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 31.38
50 Day Moving Average 30.75
Parabolic System 28.01
20 Day Moving Average 27.99
Lower Bollinger Band 24.63
Daily Stochastic Crossing 23.36
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 23.26
Price 22.61
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 1
Industry Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 4
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 29.18
High Date 03/24/2025
Low 21.96
Low Date 04/04/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 29.18
High Date 03/24/2025
Low 21.96
Low Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 35.28
High Date 02/24/2025
Low 21.96
Low Date 04/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 39.79
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 21.96
Low Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 24.08
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 39.79
High Date 11/25/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.