The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/25/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (IEF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (IEF). During the week, the IEF climbed 0.53 points, or 0.56%, and closed at 95.21 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was -18% below average.

Long-term trend: [See IEF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 19, 2023 at 88.86 and reached 99.18 on September 16, 2024. IEF gained -10.32 points, or -11.61%, in 47 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See IEF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 91.08 and reached 97.52 on April 4, 2025. IEF gained -6.44 points, or -7.07%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 93.12 and resistance is at 98.92. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See IEF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 21, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See IEF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 97.52 and reached 92.79 on April 11, 2025. IEF lost 4.73 points, or 4.85%, in 7 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See IEF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 50.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 71.35
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.24
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.00
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.37
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 37.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.95
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.67
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.14
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 98.92
Upper Bollinger Band 96.14
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 95.42
Price 95.21
Daily Stochastic Crossing 95.01
20 Day Moving Average 94.89
50 Day Moving Average 94.59
Lower Bollinger Band 93.26
Weekly Trendline Support 93.12
Parabolic System 92.70
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
High 97.52
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 92.79
Low Date 04/11/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 98.92
Support 93.12
Low 91.08
Low Date 01/13/2025
High 97.52
High Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 99.18
High Date 09/16/2024
Low 91.08
Low Date 01/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 88.86
Low Date 10/19/2023
High 99.18
High Date 09/16/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 123.41
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 88.86
Low Date 10/19/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.