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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/26/2025 -
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Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was the negative week for the Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY). During the week, the JKHY dropped -2.59 points, or -1.70%, and closed at 149.38 on Friday, September 26, 2025. Weekly volume was 57% above average.

Long-term trend: [See JKHY long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 196.00 and reached 148.30 on September 25, 2025. JKHY lost 47.70 points, or 24.34%, in 28 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (156.50) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See JKHY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 21, 2025 at 186.52 and reached 148.30 on September 25, 2025. JKHY lost 38.22 points, or 20.49%, in 18 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See JKHY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 11, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See JKHY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on August 22, 2025 at 166.41 and reached 148.30 on September 25, 2025. JKHY lost 18.11 points, or 10.88%, in 34 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend support line (155.08) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See JKHY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 17, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 24.47
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.80
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.61
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 11.77
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.22
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.52
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.13
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.53
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 166.47
50 Day Moving Average 163.58
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 161.24
Weekly Trendline Resistance 160.25
20 Day Moving Average 157.51
Quarterly Trendline Support 156.50
Weekly Trendline Support 155.08
Parabolic System 152.49
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 150.48
Price 149.38
Daily Stochastic Crossing 149.35
Lower Bollinger Band 146.38
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 7
Industry Data Processing & Outsourced Services 21
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 161.92
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 148.30
Low Date 09/25/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 160.25
Support 155.08
High 166.41
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 148.30
Low Date 09/25/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 186.52
High Date 05/21/2025
Low 148.30
Low Date 09/25/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 161.24
Support 156.50
High 196.00
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 148.30
Low Date 09/25/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 136.57
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 196.00
High Date 03/10/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.