The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

Archive
- 2/6/2026 -
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NVR Inc (NVR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 7966.55Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the NVR Inc (NVR). During the week, the NVR gained 374.11 points, or 4.90%, and closed at 8009.84 on Friday, February 6, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was 27% above average.

Long-term trend: [See NVR long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 9964.77 and reached 6563.00 on April 9, 2025. NVR lost 3401.77 points, or 34.14%, in 24 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (7966.55). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See NVR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 5, 2025 at 8618.28 and reached 7003.47 on November 4, 2025. NVR lost 1614.81 points, or 18.74%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (7031.71) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. NVR may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See NVR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 16, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See NVR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 6, 2026 at 7022.00 and reached 8144.20 on February 5, 2026. NVR gained -1122.20 points, or -15.98%, in 30 days. The price is now at the 11.97% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See NVR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 8, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.59
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.79
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.73
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 84.84
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 79.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 25.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 68.87
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -60.47
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 8016.67
Price 8009.84
Daily Stochastic Crossing 7994.88
Yearly Trendline Resistance 7966.55
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 7885.77
20 Day Moving Average 7698.60
50 Day Moving Average 7541.82
Parabolic System 7521.91
Lower Bollinger Band 7389.33
Yearly Trendline Support 7199.23
Monthly Trendline Resistance 7128.31
Monthly Trendline Support 7031.71
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 7
Industry Homebuilding 47
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 7022.00
Low Date 01/06/2026
High 8144.20
High Date 02/05/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 7003.47
Low Date 11/04/2025
High 8144.20
High Date 02/05/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 7128.31
Support 7031.71
High 8618.28
High Date 09/05/2025
Low 7003.47
Low Date 11/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 6563.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 8618.28
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 7966.55
Support 7199.23
High 9964.77
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 6563.00
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.