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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/13/2024 -
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NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBullish Doji Candlestick
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ). During the week, the QQQ climbed 4.02 points, or 0.76%, and closed at 530.50 on Friday, December 13, 2024. Weekly volume was -42% below average.

Long-term trend: [See QQQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 254.26 and reached 533.20 on December 13, 2024. QQQ gained -278.94 points, or -109.71%, in 113 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 455.69 and resistance is at 564.03. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See QQQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 5, 2024 at 423.45 and reached 533.20 on December 13, 2024. QQQ gained -109.75 points, or -25.92%, in 18 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (513.00) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See QQQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since October 11, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See QQQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 6, 2024 at 448.19 and reached 533.20 on December 13, 2024. QQQ gained -85.01 points, or -18.97%, in 98 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See QQQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 29, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Candlestick pattern: [See QQQ candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.69
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.37
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.69
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.44 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.84
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.01
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.69
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 14.61
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 564.03
Upper Bollinger Band 537.17
Daily Stochastic Crossing 531.24
Price 530.50
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 525.30
Parabolic System 524.37
20 Day Moving Average 513.94
Weekly Trendline Support 513.00
Weekly Trendline Resistance 512.14
50 Day Moving Average 503.46
Lower Bollinger Band 495.66
Quarterly Trendline Support 455.69
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 448.19
Low Date 09/06/2024
High 533.20
High Date 12/13/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 512.14
Support 513.00
Low 423.45
Low Date 08/05/2024
High 533.20
High Date 12/13/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 342.35
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 533.20
High Date 12/13/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 564.03
Support 455.69
Low 254.26
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 533.20
High Date 12/13/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.05
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 533.20
High Date 12/13/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.