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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/31/2025 -
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NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ). During the week, the QQQ gained 11.97 points, or 1.94%, and closed at 629.07 on Friday, October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was 44% above average.

Long-term trend: [See QQQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 254.26 and reached 637.01 on October 29, 2025. QQQ gained -382.75 points, or -150.53%, in 158 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (443.31) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See QQQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 402.40 and reached 637.01 on October 29, 2025. QQQ gained -234.61 points, or -58.30%, in 29 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See QQQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See QQQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 14, 2025 at 590.13 and reached 637.01 on October 29, 2025. QQQ gained -46.88 points, or -7.94%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See QQQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.03
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.07
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.73
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.61
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.11
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.99
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.25
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 23.09 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 638.28
Daily Stochastic Crossing 631.58
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 630.23
Price 629.07
20 Day Moving Average 611.90
Parabolic System 610.49
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 608.76
50 Day Moving Average 596.73
Lower Bollinger Band 589.25
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Low 590.13
Low Date 10/14/2025
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 558.84
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 402.40
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 608.76
Support 443.31
Low 254.26
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.05
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.